Ligue 1 · 2023

Lorient 2–4 Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 1

Lorient

LDLLD
2–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Olympique de Marseille won 2–4.

Shots
1518
Shots on target
98
Expected goals
2.262.35
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Olympique de Marseille beat Lorient 4–2. Recorded in this match (Lorient – Olympique de Marseille): shots 15–18, shots on target 9–8, expected goals 2.26–2.35, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Olympique de Marseille's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Olympique de Marseille's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.47 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.47 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Olympique de Marseille.

7.24 days ▲Rest daysLorient · Olympique de Marseille3.99 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLorientOlympique de MarseilleBaseline
Rest days7.24 days3.99 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Lorient show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lorient's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.27 shots/match ▲ShotsLorient · Olympique de Marseille13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLorientOlympique de MarseilleBaseline
Shots9.27 shots/match13.7 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against16.3 shots/match11.4 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots18 shotsLorient 15 shots, Olympique de Marseille 18 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots8 shotsLorient 9 shots, Olympique de Marseille 8 shots
  • Expected goals2.26 xG2.35 xGLorient 2.26 xG, Olympique de Marseille 2.35 xG
  • Possession50%50%Lorient 50%, Olympique de Marseille 50%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersLorient 4 corners, Olympique de Marseille 6 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls17 foulsLorient 17 fouls, Olympique de Marseille 17 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Samuel Gigot · Olympique de Marseille · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Clauss · Olympique de Marseille · 24′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLeonardo Balerdi · Olympique de Marseille · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBonke Innocent · Lorient · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLaurent Abergel · Lorient · 65′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBonke Innocent · Lorient · 89′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBenjamin Mendy · Lorient · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIsmaïla Sarr · Olympique de Marseille · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Olympique de Marseille · 9′ · 0.05 xG · goalAmine Harit · Olympique de Marseille · 40′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAhmadou Bamba Dieng · Lorient · 56′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJulien Laporte · Lorient · 18′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Olympique de Marseille · 13′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRenan Lodi · Olympique de Marseille · 36′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Olympique de Marseille · 32′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAmine Harit · Olympique de Marseille · 32′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSouleymane Isaak Touré · Lorient · 57′ · 0.11 xG · on targetJonathan Clauss · Olympique de Marseille · 36′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Mendy · Lorient · 52′ · 0.13 xG · goalPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Olympique de Marseille · 27′ · 0.14 xG · on targetAhmadou Bamba Dieng · Lorient · 52′ · 0.14 xG · on targetSamuel Gigot · Olympique de Marseille · 33′ · 0.15 xG · on targetLeonardo Balerdi · Olympique de Marseille · 33′ · 0.16 xG · goalVitinha · Olympique de Marseille · 7′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Olympique de Marseille · 17′ · 0.19 xG · on targetBenjamin Mendy · Lorient · 25′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedRomain Faivre · Lorient · 41′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedRomain Faivre · Lorient · 41′ · 0.25 xG · goalEli Junior Kroupi · Lorient · 90′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedMontassar Talbi · Lorient · 56′ · 0.32 xG · on targetChancel Mbemba · Olympique de Marseille · 3′ · 0.38 xG · goalAhmadou Bamba Dieng · Lorient · 26′ · 0.48 xG · on targetPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Olympique de Marseille · 42′ · 0.51 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lorient: 15 shots, 8 on target, 2.32 xG. Olympique de Marseille: 18 shots, 8 on target, 2.39 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Romain Faivre · Lorient · 41′Benjamin Mendy · Lorient · 52′Chancel Mbemba · Olympique de Marseille · 3′Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Olympique de Marseille · 9′Leonardo Balerdi · Olympique de Marseille · 33′Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Olympique de Marseille · 42′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lorient 2.32 xG · Olympique de Marseille 2.39 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Lorient
1Draws
3Olympique de Marseille
Lorient — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 10–0
Olympique de Marseille — Lorient · Ligue 13–1
Lorient — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 10–3
Olympique de Marseille — Lorient · Ligue 14–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lorient favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Olympique de Marseille in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lorient15 matchesOlympique de Marseille15 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲ 1.47 goals/match
1.93 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 1.07 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals15/15▲ 1.63 xG/match
9.27 shots/matchShots15/15▲ 13.7 shots/match
4.07 shots/matchShots on target14/154.27 shots/match
45.4%Possession15/15● 50.5%
3.93 corners/matchCorners15/15● 5.67 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls15/1510.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 Dec 2023, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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