PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

Olympique Lyonnais 3–0 Toulouse · Ligue 1

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Olympique Lyonnais won 3–0.

Shots
1516
Shots on target
76
Expected goals
1.831.55
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Olympique Lyonnais beat Toulouse 3–0. Recorded in this match (Olympique Lyonnais – Toulouse): shots 15–16, shots on target 7–6, expected goals 1.83–1.55, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Toulouse's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Toulouse's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.93 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.93 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Olympique Lyonnais.

3.84 days ▲Rest daysOlympique Lyonnais · Toulouse7.09 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricOlympique LyonnaisToulouseBaseline
Rest days3.84 days7.09 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Olympique Lyonnais have a visible home split

moderate

Olympique Lyonnais's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.5 shots/match13.3 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots16 shotsOlympique Lyonnais 15 shots, Toulouse 16 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots6 shotsOlympique Lyonnais 7 shots, Toulouse 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.83 xG1.55 xGOlympique Lyonnais 1.83 xG, Toulouse 1.55 xG
  • Possession49%51%Olympique Lyonnais 49%, Toulouse 51%
  • Corners2 corners1 cornerOlympique Lyonnais 2 corners, Toulouse 1 corner
  • Fouls15 fouls15 foulsOlympique Lyonnais 15 fouls, Toulouse 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Vincent Sierro · Toulouse · 17′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDuje Ćaleta-Car · Olympique Lyonnais · 64′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMaxence Caqueret · Olympique Lyonnais · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFrank Magri · Toulouse · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFrank Magri · Toulouse · 60′ · 0.02 xG · on targetStijn Spierings · Toulouse · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThijs Dallinga · Toulouse · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThijs Dallinga · Toulouse · 31′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFrank Magri · Toulouse · 47′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMahamadou Diawara · Olympique Lyonnais · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAron Dønnum · Toulouse · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTino Kadewere · Olympique Lyonnais · 80′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYanis Begraoui · Toulouse · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetWaren Kamanzi · Toulouse · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVincent Sierro · Toulouse · 16′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedErnest Nuamah · Olympique Lyonnais · 18′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAron Dønnum · Toulouse · 56′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLogan Costa · Toulouse · 76′ · 0.06 xG · on targetGabriel Suazo · Toulouse · 10′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJake O'Brien · Olympique Lyonnais · 25′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCorentin Tolisso · Olympique Lyonnais · 29′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 65′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAlexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 29′ · 0.10 xG · goalDejan Lovren · Olympique Lyonnais · 18′ · 0.13 xG · on targetMahamadou Diawara · Olympique Lyonnais · 80′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAlexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 56′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Caqueret · Olympique Lyonnais · 66′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedAlexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 80′ · 0.21 xG · goalLogan Costa · Toulouse · 72′ · 0.23 xG · on targetAlexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 25′ · 0.50 xG · goalThijs Dallinga · Toulouse · 45′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Olympique Lyonnais: 15 shots, 7 on target, 1.80 xG. Toulouse: 16 shots, 6 on target, 1.58 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Alexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 25′Alexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 29′Alexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 80′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Olympique Lyonnais 1.80 xG · Toulouse 1.58 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Olympique Lyonnais
1Draws
0Toulouse
Toulouse — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 11–2
Olympique Lyonnais — Toulouse · Ligue 11–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Olympique Lyonnais favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Toulouse in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Olympique Lyonnais15 matchesToulouse15 matches
0.93 goals/matchGoals scored15/150.93 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 1.4 goals/match
1.36 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/151.05 xG/match
13.3 shots/match ▲Shots15/1511.1 shots/match
5.07 shots/match ▲Shots on target15/154.13 shots/match
52.3% ●Possession15/1548%
4.87 corners/match ●Corners15/153.13 corners/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls15/1514.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 Dec 2023, 20:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOlympique LyonnaisToulouse
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headOlympique Lyonnais — Toulouse
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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