PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

RC Strasbourg 2–1 Le Havre · Ligue 1

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RC Strasbourg won 2–1.

Shots
1214
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.61.3
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

RC Strasbourg beat Le Havre 2–1. Recorded in this match (RC Strasbourg – Le Havre): shots 12–14, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.6–1.3, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RC Strasbourg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

RC Strasbourg's last-five shots average is above their season average.

12.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season9.73 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match9.73 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for RC Strasbourg.

2.77 days ▲Rest daysRC Strasbourg · Le Havre7.08 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricRC StrasbourgLe HavreBaseline
Rest days2.77 days7.08 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

RC Strasbourg have a visible home split

moderate

RC Strasbourg's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season9.73 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.1 shots/match9.73 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots14 shotsRC Strasbourg 12 shots, Le Havre 14 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsRC Strasbourg 3 shots, Le Havre 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.6 xG1.3 xGRC Strasbourg 1.6 xG, Le Havre 1.3 xG
  • Possession44%56%RC Strasbourg 44%, Le Havre 56%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersRC Strasbourg 4 corners, Le Havre 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls15 foulsRC Strasbourg 14 fouls, Le Havre 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Étienne Youte Kinkoue · Le Havre · 41′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedÂngelo · RC Strasbourg · 72′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJunior Mwanga · RC Strasbourg · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYassine Kechta · Le Havre · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFrédéric Guilbert · RC Strasbourg · 17′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAbdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Bayo · Le Havre · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOussama Targhalline · Le Havre · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Joujou · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKévin Gameiro · RC Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Grandsir · Le Havre · 59′ · 0.03 xG · on targetChristopher Operi · Le Havre · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDaler Kuzyaev · Le Havre · 20′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Operi · Le Havre · 75′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Joujou · Le Havre · 71′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLucas Perrin · RC Strasbourg · 45′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLebo Mothiba · RC Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 16′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Bayo · Le Havre · 35′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedFrédéric Guilbert · RC Strasbourg · 45′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedAbakar Sylla · RC Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.20 xG · goalEmmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 81′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 21′ · 0.24 xG · goalMoïse Sahi Dion · RC Strasbourg · 8′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedYoann Salmier · Le Havre · 49′ · 0.35 xG · goalYassine Kechta · Le Havre · 71′ · 0.40 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RC Strasbourg: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.55 xG. Le Havre: 14 shots, 3 on target, 1.32 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Emmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 21′Abakar Sylla · RC Strasbourg · 90′Yoann Salmier · Le Havre · 49′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RC Strasbourg 1.55 xG · Le Havre 1.32 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Strasbourg favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Le Havre in 5

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Strasbourg15 matchesLe Havre15 matches
0.93 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/150.87 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 1.13 goals/match
1.16 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/151.09 xG/match
9.73 shots/matchShots15/15▲ 11.6 shots/match
3.07 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲ 3.53 shots/match
40.8%Possession15/15● 44.4%
3.2 corners/matchCorners15/15● 3.93 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls15/1513.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 Dec 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRC StrasbourgLe Havre
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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