PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

Olympique de Marseille 1–1 RC Strasbourg · Ligue 1

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Olympique de Marseille and RC Strasbourg drew 1–1.

Shots
818
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
1.361.19
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Olympique de Marseille and RC Strasbourg drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Olympique de Marseille – RC Strasbourg): shots 8–18, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 1.36–1.19, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Olympique de Marseille's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Olympique de Marseille's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.44 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

RC Strasbourg show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

RC Strasbourg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsOlympique de Marseille · RC Strasbourg10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOlympique de MarseilleRC StrasbourgBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against11.4 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Olympique de Marseille have recorded the higher season possession share.

51.6% ●PossessionOlympique de Marseille · RC Strasbourg41.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricOlympique de MarseilleRC StrasbourgBaseline
Possession51.6%41.4%51.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots18 shotsOlympique de Marseille 8 shots, RC Strasbourg 18 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsOlympique de Marseille 2 shots, RC Strasbourg 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.36 xG1.19 xGOlympique de Marseille 1.36 xG, RC Strasbourg 1.19 xG
  • Possession47%53%Olympique de Marseille 47%, RC Strasbourg 53%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersOlympique de Marseille 6 corners, RC Strasbourg 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls10 foulsOlympique de Marseille 11 fouls, RC Strasbourg 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jonathan Clauss · Olympique de Marseille · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHabib Diarra · RC Strasbourg · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Clauss · Olympique de Marseille · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Senaya · RC Strasbourg · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIbrahima Sissoko · RC Strasbourg · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJeremy Sebas · RC Strasbourg · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJunior Mwanga · RC Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHabib Diarra · RC Strasbourg · 21′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 75′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJeremy Sebas · RC Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.05 xG · goalHabib Diarra · RC Strasbourg · 68′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHabib Diarra · RC Strasbourg · 52′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 85′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Olympique de Marseille · 62′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMoïse Sahi Dion · RC Strasbourg · 66′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedHabib Diarra · RC Strasbourg · 53′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 33′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJordan Veretout · Olympique de Marseille · 79′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 49′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Gigot · Olympique de Marseille · 12′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedKévin Gameiro · RC Strasbourg · 15′ · 0.12 xG · on targetPierre-Emerick Aubameyang · Olympique de Marseille · 25′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedMoïse Sahi Dion · RC Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.20 xG · on targetJordan Veretout · Olympique de Marseille · 61′ · 0.42 xG · on targetSamuel Gigot · Olympique de Marseille · 3′ · 0.45 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Olympique de Marseille: 8 shots, 2 on target, 1.38 xG. RC Strasbourg: 18 shots, 4 on target, 1.19 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Samuel Gigot · Olympique de Marseille · 3′Jeremy Sebas · RC Strasbourg · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Olympique de Marseille 1.38 xG · RC Strasbourg 1.19 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Olympique de Marseille
3Draws
0RC Strasbourg
RC Strasbourg — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 11–1
Olympique de Marseille — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 12–2
RC Strasbourg — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 12–2
Olympique de Marseille — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 14–0
RC Strasbourg — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 10–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Olympique de Marseille favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · RC Strasbourg in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Olympique de Marseille18 matchesRC Strasbourg18 matches
1.44 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/181.06 goals/match
1.06 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/181.28 goals/match
1.65 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/181.13 xG/match
13.6 shots/match ▲Shots18/1810.3 shots/match
4.22 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/183.39 shots/match
51.6% ●Possession18/1841.4%
5.83 corners/match ●Corners18/183.28 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls18/1813.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Jan 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOlympique de MarseilleRC Strasbourg
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headOlympique de Marseille — RC Strasbourg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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