Ligue 1 · 2023

Nice 2–3 AS Monaco · Ligue 1

Nice

LWLWD
2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

AS Monaco won 2–3.

Shots
159
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
2.141.73
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

AS Monaco beat Nice 3–2. Recorded in this match (Nice – AS Monaco): shots 15–9, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 2.14–1.73, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

AS Monaco's recent record differs from the season

moderate

AS Monaco's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match14.4 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.29 corners/matchCornersNice · AS Monaco● 5.67 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricNiceAS MonacoBaseline
Corners5.29 corners/match5.67 corners/match4.67 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots9 shotsNice 15 shots, AS Monaco 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsNice 5 shots, AS Monaco 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.14 xG1.73 xGNice 2.14 xG, AS Monaco 1.73 xG
  • Possession47%53%Nice 47%, AS Monaco 53%
  • Corners8 corners2 cornersNice 8 corners, AS Monaco 2 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls14 foulsNice 17 fouls, AS Monaco 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gaëtan Laborde · Nice · 15′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYoussouf Ndayishimiye · Nice · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYoussouf Ndayishimiye · Nice · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDenis Zakaria · AS Monaco · 16′ · 0.03 xG · goalValentin Rosier · Nice · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGaëtan Laborde · Nice · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Sanson · Nice · 17′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedThilo Kehrer · AS Monaco · 24′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDenis Zakaria · AS Monaco · 50′ · 0.06 xG · goalPablo Rosario · Nice · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEvann Guessand · Nice · 22′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMohamed Ali Cho · Nice · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedYoussouf Fofana · AS Monaco · 28′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Sanson · Nice · 32′ · 0.08 xG · on targetEvann Guessand · Nice · 74′ · 0.09 xG · goalIsmail Jakobs · AS Monaco · 77′ · 0.11 xG · on targetDante · Nice · 20′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedTakumi Minamino · AS Monaco · 24′ · 0.20 xG · on targetMohamed Camara · AS Monaco · 85′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedGaëtan Laborde · Nice · 45′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedEvann Guessand · Nice · 45′ · 0.38 xG · on targetAleksandr Golovin · AS Monaco · 77′ · 0.38 xG · goalFolarin Balogun · AS Monaco · 87′ · 0.71 xG · off target or blockedGaëtan Laborde · Nice · 37′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Nice: 15 shots, 5 on target, 2.28 xG. AS Monaco: 9 shots, 5 on target, 1.82 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Gaëtan Laborde · Nice · 37′Evann Guessand · Nice · 74′Denis Zakaria · AS Monaco · 16′Denis Zakaria · AS Monaco · 50′Aleksandr Golovin · AS Monaco · 77′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nice 2.28 xG · AS Monaco 1.82 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Nice
1Draws
2AS Monaco
AS Monaco — Nice · Ligue 10–1
AS Monaco — Nice · Ligue 10–3
Nice — AS Monaco · Ligue 10–1
AS Monaco — Nice · Ligue 11–0
Nice — AS Monaco · Ligue 12–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nice favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · AS Monaco in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nice21 matchesAS Monaco21 matches
1.05 goals/matchGoals scored21/21▲ 1.9 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/211.43 goals/match
1.45 xG/matchExpected goals21/211.44 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots21/21▲ 14.4 shots/match
4.62 shots/matchShots on target21/21▲ 6.05 shots/match
53.2%Possession21/21● 54.2%
5.29 corners/matchCorners21/21● 5.67 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls21/2114.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Feb 2024, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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