Ligue 1 · 2023

Montpellier 1–2 Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 1

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Olympique Lyonnais won 1–2.

Shots
1519
Shots on target
85
Expected goals
1.541.16
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Olympique Lyonnais beat Montpellier 2–1. Recorded in this match (Montpellier – Olympique Lyonnais): shots 15–19, shots on target 8–5, expected goals 1.54–1.16, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Montpellier's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Montpellier's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Montpellier have a visible home split

moderate

Montpellier's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.4 shots/match13.5 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots19 shotsMontpellier 15 shots, Olympique Lyonnais 19 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots5 shotsMontpellier 8 shots, Olympique Lyonnais 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.54 xG1.16 xGMontpellier 1.54 xG, Olympique Lyonnais 1.16 xG
  • Possession46%54%Montpellier 46%, Olympique Lyonnais 54%
  • Corners1 corner5 cornersMontpellier 1 corner, Olympique Lyonnais 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls11 foulsMontpellier 11 fouls, Olympique Lyonnais 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Corentin Tolisso · Olympique Lyonnais · 13′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRayan Cherki · Olympique Lyonnais · 78′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTeji Savanier · Montpellier · 32′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSaïd Benrahma · Olympique Lyonnais · 33′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCorentin Tolisso · Olympique Lyonnais · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoris Chotard · Montpellier · 42′ · 0.02 xG · on targetErnest Nuamah · Olympique Lyonnais · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMalick Fofana · Olympique Lyonnais · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCorentin Tolisso · Olympique Lyonnais · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSaïd Benrahma · Olympique Lyonnais · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedArnaud Nordin · Montpellier · 23′ · 0.04 xG · goalTeji Savanier · Montpellier · 29′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYann Karamoh · Montpellier · 81′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAkor Adams · Montpellier · 84′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLeo Leroy · Montpellier · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Caqueret · Olympique Lyonnais · 10′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedArnaud Nordin · Montpellier · 61′ · 0.05 xG · on targetTeji Savanier · Montpellier · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRayan Cherki · Olympique Lyonnais · 81′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Caqueret · Olympique Lyonnais · 82′ · 0.05 xG · goalBećir Omeragić · Montpellier · 40′ · 0.06 xG · on targetTeji Savanier · Montpellier · 17′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRayan Cherki · Olympique Lyonnais · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSaïd Benrahma · Olympique Lyonnais · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 74′ · 0.08 xG · goalJake O'Brien · Olympique Lyonnais · 82′ · 0.08 xG · on targetTeji Savanier · Montpellier · 49′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAkor Adams · Montpellier · 65′ · 0.09 xG · on targetCorentin Tolisso · Olympique Lyonnais · 19′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedErnest Nuamah · Olympique Lyonnais · 32′ · 0.12 xG · on targetBoubakar Kouyaté · Montpellier · 59′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedGift Orban · Olympique Lyonnais · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedNicolás Tagliafico · Olympique Lyonnais · 20′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedAkor Adams · Montpellier · 54′ · 0.80 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Montpellier: 15 shots, 8 on target, 1.57 xG. Olympique Lyonnais: 19 shots, 5 on target, 1.19 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Arnaud Nordin · Montpellier · 23′Alexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 74′Maxence Caqueret · Olympique Lyonnais · 82′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Montpellier 1.57 xG · Olympique Lyonnais 1.19 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Montpellier
0Draws
4Olympique Lyonnais
Olympique Lyonnais — Montpellier · Ligue 11–4
Olympique Lyonnais — Montpellier · Ligue 15–4
Montpellier — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 11–2
Olympique Lyonnais — Montpellier · Ligue 15–2
Montpellier — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 10–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Montpellier favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Olympique Lyonnais in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Montpellier21 matchesOlympique Lyonnais21 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored21/211.05 goals/match
1.29 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/211.62 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goals21/211.29 xG/match
13.5 shots/match ▲Shots21/2112.6 shots/match
5.29 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/215 shots/match
43.6%Possession21/21● 51.2%
3.9 corners/matchCorners21/21● 4.71 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls21/2113.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Feb 2024, 20:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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