Ligue 1 · 2023

AS Monaco 1–0 Lille · Ligue 1

1–0Historical match

Lille

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A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

AS Monaco won 1–0.

Shots
1913
Shots on target
74
Expected goals
1.591.31
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

AS Monaco beat Lille 1–0. Recorded in this match (AS Monaco – Lille): shots 19–13, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 1.59–1.31, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for AS Monaco, Lille.

3.16 days ▲Rest daysAS Monaco · Lille3.25 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAS MonacoLilleBaseline
Rest days3.16 days3.25 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

AS Monaco's recent record differs from the season

weak

AS Monaco's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.87 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.87 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.7 corners/match ●CornersAS Monaco · Lille5.4 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAS MonacoLilleBaseline
Corners5.7 corners/match5.4 corners/match4.82 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots13 shotsAS Monaco 19 shots, Lille 13 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsAS Monaco 7 shots, Lille 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.59 xG1.31 xGAS Monaco 1.59 xG, Lille 1.31 xG
  • Possession43%57%AS Monaco 43%, Lille 57%
  • Corners7 corners5 cornersAS Monaco 7 corners, Lille 5 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls9 foulsAS Monaco 9 fouls, Lille 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tiago Santos · Lille · 5′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVanderson · AS Monaco · 87′ · 0.01 xG · on targetDenis Zakaria · AS Monaco · 22′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAngel Gomes · Lille · 48′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTakumi Minamino · AS Monaco · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTakumi Minamino · AS Monaco · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEdon Zhegrova · Lille · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFolarin Balogun · AS Monaco · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedWissam Ben Yedder · AS Monaco · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTakumi Minamino · AS Monaco · 20′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDenis Zakaria · AS Monaco · 74′ · 0.05 xG · on targetTiago Santos · Lille · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 65′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRémy Cabella · Lille · 81′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedYoussouf Fofana · AS Monaco · 9′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Gudmundsson · Lille · 47′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTakumi Minamino · AS Monaco · 54′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedYoussouf Fofana · AS Monaco · 61′ · 0.09 xG · goalMaghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 23′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedHakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 42′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedWissam Ben Yedder · AS Monaco · 72′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAngel Gomes · Lille · 15′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedTakumi Minamino · AS Monaco · 38′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedYoussouf Fofana · AS Monaco · 27′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 55′ · 0.14 xG · on targetWissam Ben Yedder · AS Monaco · 69′ · 0.14 xG · on targetBafodé Diakité · Lille · 30′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedEdon Zhegrova · Lille · 84′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedWissam Ben Yedder · AS Monaco · 23′ · 0.16 xG · on targetThilo Kehrer · AS Monaco · 72′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedLeny Yoro · Lille · 26′ · 0.21 xG · on targetGabriel Gudmundsson · Lille · 3′ · 0.25 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

AS Monaco: 19 shots, 7 on target, 1.59 xG. Lille: 13 shots, 4 on target, 1.28 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Youssouf Fofana · AS Monaco · 61′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AS Monaco 1.59 xG · Lille 1.28 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1AS Monaco
2Draws
2Lille
Lille — AS Monaco · Ligue 12–0
AS Monaco — Lille · Ligue 10–0
Lille — AS Monaco · Ligue 14–3
Lille — AS Monaco · Ligue 11–2
AS Monaco — Lille · Ligue 12–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AS Monaco favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Lille in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AS Monaco30 matchesLille30 matches
1.87 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/301.43 goals/match
1.27 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲ 0.87 goals/match
1.56 xG/matchExpected goals30/301.49 xG/match
15.1 shots/match ▲Shots30/3013.2 shots/match
6.07 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/305.17 shots/match
53.3%Possession30/30● 56.5%
5.7 corners/match ●Corners30/305.4 corners/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls30/3011.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 24 Apr 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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