PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

Stade Brestois 0–2 AS Monaco · Ligue 1

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

AS Monaco won 0–2.

Shots
128
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.650.9
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

AS Monaco beat Stade Brestois 2–0. Recorded in this match (Stade Brestois – AS Monaco): shots 12–8, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.65–0.9, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Stade Brestois's recent record differs from the season

weak

Stade Brestois's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.47 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.47 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots8 shotsStade Brestois 12 shots, AS Monaco 8 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsStade Brestois 2 shots, AS Monaco 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.65 xG0.9 xGStade Brestois 0.65 xG, AS Monaco 0.9 xG
  • Possession56%44%Stade Brestois 56%, AS Monaco 44%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersStade Brestois 7 corners, AS Monaco 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls9 foulsStade Brestois 8 fouls, AS Monaco 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kenny Lala · Stade Brestois · 63′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHugo Magnetti · Stade Brestois · 27′ · 0.02 xG · on targetHugo Magnetti · Stade Brestois · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMartín Satriano · Stade Brestois · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMartín Satriano · Stade Brestois · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMartín Satriano · Stade Brestois · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYoussouf Fofana · AS Monaco · 16′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDenis Zakaria · AS Monaco · 40′ · 0.04 xG · goalMaghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMathias Pereira Lage · Stade Brestois · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois · 19′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMartín Satriano · Stade Brestois · 87′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMathias Pereira Lage · Stade Brestois · 82′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMohammed Salisu · AS Monaco · 53′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJérémy Le Douaron · Stade Brestois · 63′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedYoussouf Fofana · AS Monaco · 16′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSteve Mounié · Stade Brestois · 45′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedTakumi Minamino · AS Monaco · 48′ · 0.24 xG · goalFolarin Balogun · AS Monaco · 75′ · 0.33 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Stade Brestois: 12 shots, 2 on target, 0.64 xG. AS Monaco: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.90 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Denis Zakaria · AS Monaco · 40′Takumi Minamino · AS Monaco · 48′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Stade Brestois 0.64 xG · AS Monaco 0.90 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Stade Brestois
0Draws
4AS Monaco
AS Monaco — Stade Brestois · Ligue 12–0
Stade Brestois — AS Monaco · Ligue 11–2
AS Monaco — Stade Brestois · Ligue 11–0
AS Monaco — Stade Brestois · Ligue 14–2
Stade Brestois — AS Monaco · Ligue 12–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Brestois favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · AS Monaco in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Brestois30 matchesAS Monaco29 matches
1.47 goals/matchGoals scored30/29▲ 1.9 goals/match
0.97 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/291.31 goals/match
1.46 xG/matchExpected goals30/29▲ 1.56 xG/match
14.6 shots/matchShots30/2914.9 shots/match
5.2 shots/matchShots on target30/29▲ 6.03 shots/match
53.3%Possession30/29● 53.6%
4.63 corners/matchCorners30/29● 5.66 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls30/2914.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Apr 2024, 19:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStade BrestoisAS Monaco
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headStade Brestois — AS Monaco
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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