Ligue 1 · 2023

Lorient 1–4 Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 1

Lorient

LDLLL
1–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain won 1–4.

Shots
1115
Shots on target
67
Expected goals
0.911.58
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint-Germain beat Lorient 4–1. Recorded in this match (Lorient – Paris Saint-Germain): shots 11–15, shots on target 6–7, expected goals 0.91–1.58, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lorient's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lorient's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.2 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Paris Saint-Germain.

4.92 days ▲Rest daysLorient · Paris Saint-Germain2.92 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLorientParis Saint-GermainBaseline
Rest days4.92 days2.92 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Paris Saint-Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Paris Saint-Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.9 shots/match ▲ShotsLorient · Paris Saint-Germain15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLorientParis Saint-GermainBaseline
Shots9.9 shots/match15 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against15.9 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots15 shotsLorient 11 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 15 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots7 shotsLorient 6 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.91 xG1.58 xGLorient 0.91 xG, Paris Saint-Germain 1.58 xG
  • Possession41%59%Lorient 41%, Paris Saint-Germain 59%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersLorient 3 corners, Paris Saint-Germain 6 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls7 foulsLorient 8 fouls, Paris Saint-Germain 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Yoram Zague · Paris Saint-Germain · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLaurent Abergel · Lorient · 80′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBadredine Bouanani · Lorient · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 17′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJulien Laporte · Lorient · 19′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFabián Ruiz · Paris Saint-Germain · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′ · 0.03 xG · goalGedeon Kalulu · Lorient · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedImrân Louza · Lorient · 28′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSenny Mayulu · Paris Saint-Germain · 29′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Bamba · Lorient · 73′ · 0.04 xG · goalMohamed Bamba · Lorient · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEthan Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 88′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 72′ · 0.06 xG · on targetFabián Ruiz · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEthan Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 84′ · 0.11 xG · on targetJulien Ponceau · Lorient · 70′ · 0.12 xG · on targetPanos Katseris · Lorient · 80′ · 0.12 xG · on targetOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 19′ · 0.14 xG · goalRandal Kolo Muani · Paris Saint-Germain · 71′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedAyman Kari · Lorient · 12′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedTiemoué Bakayoko · Lorient · 31′ · 0.26 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 22′ · 0.33 xG · goalOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 60′ · 0.52 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lorient: 11 shots, 6 on target, 0.91 xG. Paris Saint-Germain: 15 shots, 7 on target, 1.64 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Mohamed Bamba · Lorient · 73′Ousmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 19′Kylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 22′Ousmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 60′Kylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lorient 0.91 xG · Paris Saint-Germain 1.64 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lorient
2Draws
2Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain — Lorient · Ligue 10–0
Paris Saint-Germain — Lorient · Ligue 11–3
Lorient — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–2
Paris Saint-Germain — Lorient · Ligue 15–1
Lorient — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lorient favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Paris Saint-Germain in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lorient30 matchesParis Saint-Germain30 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored30/30▲ 2.43 goals/match
1.97 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲ 0.87 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals30/30▲ 2.05 xG/match
9.9 shots/matchShots30/30▲ 15 shots/match
3.97 shots/matchShots on target29/29▲ 6.07 shots/match
46.4%Possession30/30● 64.8%
3.73 corners/matchCorners30/30● 5.7 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls30/3010.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 24 Apr 2024, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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