Ligue 1 · 2023Sun, 19 May 2024, 19:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Metz

WWLLL

0–2Full-time recap

Paris Saint-Germain

WWDLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Metz	Paris Saint-Germain
Shots	10 shots/match	20 shots/match▲
Shots on target	2 shots/match	8 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.87 xG/match	2.04 xG/match▲
Possession	24%	76%●
Corners	1 corners/match	10 corners/match●
Fouls	6 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Metz: 10 shots, 2 on target, 0.85 xG. Paris Saint-Germain: 20 shots, 8 on target, 2.07 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Metz 0.85 xG · Paris Saint-Germain 2.07 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Paris Saint-Germain have recorded the higher season possession share. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Paris Saint-Germain. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Paris Saint-Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

35.1%PossessionMetz · Paris Saint-Germain●65.5%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 30.4 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Metz	Paris Saint-Germain	Baseline
Possession	35.1%	65.5%	51.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Paris Saint-Germain.

7 days▲Rest daysMetz · Paris Saint-Germain4 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	Metz	Paris Saint-Germain	Baseline
Rest days	7 days	4 days	—
Matches last 14 days	1 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Paris Saint-Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Paris Saint-Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.76 shots/match▲ShotsMetz · Paris Saint-Germain15.1 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Metz	Paris Saint-Germain	Baseline
Shots	9.76 shots/match	15.1 shots/match	13 shots/match
Shots against	15.2 shots/match	12.1 shots/match	12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Metz

0Draws

3Paris Saint-Germain

20 Dec 2023Paris Saint-Germain — Metz · Ligue 13–1

21 May 2022Paris Saint-Germain — Metz · Ligue 15–0

22 Sept 2021Metz — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Metz favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Paris Saint-Germain in 11 · 2 too close

1.03 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 34/34▲2.38 goals/match

1.71 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 34/34▲0.97 goals/match

1.02 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 34/34▲2.04 xG/match

1.63 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 34/34▲1.2 xG/match

9.76 shots/matchShotsseason · 34/34▲15.1 shots/match

15.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 34/34▲12.1 shots/match

3.41 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 34/33▲5.91 shots/match

5.56 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 34/33▲4.55 shots/match

35.1%Possessionseason · 34/34●65.5%

3.91 corners/matchCornersseason · 34/34●5.82 corners/match

5.35 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 34/34▲4.68 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 34/3410.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

18%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 34/34▲35%

68%Scoring frequencyseason · 34/34▲91%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Metz2.8

Paris Saint-Germain97.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Metz8.3

Paris Saint-Germain93.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 99%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Metz15.7

Paris Saint-Germain63.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 99%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Metz86.1

Paris Saint-Germain8.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Metz41.7

Paris Saint-Germain2.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Metz13.9

Paris Saint-Germain97.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Metz15.3

Paris Saint-Germain70.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 99%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Metz34 matchesParis Saint-Germain34 matches

1.03 goals/matchGoals scored34/34▲2.38 goals/match

1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed34/34▲0.97 goals/match

1.02 xG/matchExpected goals34/34▲2.04 xG/match

9.76 shots/matchShots34/34▲15.1 shots/match

3.41 shots/matchShots on target34/33▲5.91 shots/match

35.1%Possession34/34●65.5%

3.91 corners/matchCorners34/34●5.82 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.3 fouls/matchFouls34/3410.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Metz17 matchesParis Saint-Germain17 matches

1 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲2.29 goals/match

1.59 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲0.65 goals/match

0.98 xG/matchExpected goals17/17▲2.09 xG/match

10.8 shots/matchShots17/17▲14.5 shots/match

3.41 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲6.06 shots/match

36.9%Possession17/17●63.5%

3.82 corners/matchCorners17/17●5.29 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.3 fouls/matchFouls17/1710.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples34 / 34home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 May 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4