PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

RC Strasbourg 2–1 Metz · Ligue 1

2–1Historical match

Metz

LWWLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RC Strasbourg won 2–1.

Shots
1111
Shots on target
22
Expected goals
1.321.12
Possession
71%29%

Full time

What the match recorded

RC Strasbourg beat Metz 2–1. Recorded in this match (RC Strasbourg – Metz): shots 11–11, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 1.32–1.12, possession 71%–29%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Metz's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Metz's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.06 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.06 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metz show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Metz's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsRC Strasbourg · Metz9.76 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRC StrasbourgMetzBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match9.76 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against12.2 shots/match15.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

RC Strasbourg have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.4% ●PossessionRC Strasbourg · Metz35.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRC StrasbourgMetzBaseline
Possession44.4%35.4%51.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots11 shotsRC Strasbourg 11 shots, Metz 11 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shotsRC Strasbourg 2 shots, Metz 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.32 xG1.12 xGRC Strasbourg 1.32 xG, Metz 1.12 xG
  • Possession71%29%RC Strasbourg 71%, Metz 29%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersRC Strasbourg 3 corners, Metz 6 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls10 foulsRC Strasbourg 10 fouls, Metz 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Frédéric Guilbert · RC Strasbourg · 2′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAndrey Santos · RC Strasbourg · 24′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDanley Jean Jacques · Metz · 52′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMaxime Colin · Metz · 67′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Senaya · RC Strasbourg · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPapa Amadou Diallo · Metz · 78′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKevin Van Den Kerkhof · Metz · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGeorges Mikautadze · Metz · 4′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMoïse Sahi Dion · RC Strasbourg · 58′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGeorges Mikautadze · Metz · 62′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedHabib Diarra · RC Strasbourg · 57′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGeorges Mikautadze · Metz · 54′ · 0.09 xG · goalKevin Van Den Kerkhof · Metz · 80′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKevin Van Den Kerkhof · Metz · 88′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 89′ · 0.10 xG · goalEmmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 29′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAbakar Sylla · RC Strasbourg · 62′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 40′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedGeorges Mikautadze · Metz · 78′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedPapa Amadou Diallo · Metz · 68′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedAndrey Santos · RC Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.49 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RC Strasbourg: 11 shots, 2 on target, 1.28 xG. Metz: 11 shots, 2 on target, 1.11 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Emmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 89′Andrey Santos · RC Strasbourg · 90′Georges Mikautadze · Metz · 54′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RC Strasbourg 1.28 xG · Metz 1.11 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3RC Strasbourg
0Draws
0Metz
Metz — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 10–1
Metz — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 10–2
RC Strasbourg — Metz · Ligue 13–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Strasbourg favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Metz in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Strasbourg33 matchesMetz33 matches
1.12 goals/match ▲Goals scored33/331.06 goals/match
1.45 goals/match ▲Goals allowed33/331.7 goals/match
1.25 xG/match ▲Expected goals33/331.03 xG/match
10.8 shots/match ▲Shots33/339.76 shots/match
3.61 shots/matchShots on target33/333.45 shots/match
44.4% ●Possession33/3335.4%
3.48 corners/matchCorners33/33● 4 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls33/3312.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 May 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRC StrasbourgMetz
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headRC Strasbourg — Metz
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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