Ligue 1 · 2023

RC Lens 2–2 Montpellier · Ligue 1

RC Lens

LWLWD
2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RC Lens and Montpellier drew 2–2.

Shots
2711
Shots on target
132
Expected goals
5.250.82
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

RC Lens and Montpellier drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (RC Lens – Montpellier): shots 27–11, shots on target 13–2, expected goals 5.25–0.82, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Montpellier's recent record differs from the season

weak

Montpellier's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10 shots/match13.1 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Montpellier have a visible away split

moderate

Montpellier's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match13.1 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

RC Lens show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

RC Lens's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.5 shots/match ▲ShotsRC Lens · Montpellier13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRC LensMontpellierBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match13.1 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against11.6 shots/match15.9 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots27 shots11 shotsRC Lens 27 shots, Montpellier 11 shots
  • Shots on target13 shots2 shotsRC Lens 13 shots, Montpellier 2 shots
  • Expected goals5.25 xG0.82 xGRC Lens 5.25 xG, Montpellier 0.82 xG
  • Possession55%45%RC Lens 55%, Montpellier 45%
  • Corners1 corner0 cornersRC Lens 1 corner, Montpellier 0 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls13 foulsRC Lens 10 fouls, Montpellier 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lucas Mincarelli · Montpellier · 24′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKhalil Fayad · Montpellier · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoris Chotard · Montpellier · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAngelo Fulgini · RC Lens · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavid Pereira Da Costa · RC Lens · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYann Karamoh · Montpellier · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Guilavogui · RC Lens · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavid Pereira Da Costa · RC Lens · 65′ · 0.03 xG · on targetElye Wahi · RC Lens · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNampalys Mendy · RC Lens · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFacundo Medina · RC Lens · 66′ · 0.04 xG · on targetWahbi Khazri · Montpellier · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Sotoca · RC Lens · 76′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFacundo Medina · RC Lens · 4′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMorgan Guilavogui · RC Lens · 85′ · 0.05 xG · on targetElye Wahi · RC Lens · 16′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTanguy Coulibaly · Montpellier · 32′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Sotoca · RC Lens · 33′ · 0.06 xG · on targetWesley Saïd · RC Lens · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDavid Pereira Da Costa · RC Lens · 4′ · 0.07 xG · on targetAngelo Fulgini · RC Lens · 64′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTanguy Coulibaly · Montpellier · 39′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAkor Adams · Montpellier · 74′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedElye Wahi · RC Lens · 47′ · 0.10 xG · on targetDeiver Machado · RC Lens · 4′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedKhalil Fayad · Montpellier · 43′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedLucas Mincarelli · Montpellier · 74′ · 0.15 xG · goalOthmane Maamma · Montpellier · 58′ · 0.18 xG · goalAdrien Thomasson · RC Lens · 76′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedDavid Pereira Da Costa · RC Lens · 36′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedElye Wahi · RC Lens · 64′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blockedElye Wahi · RC Lens · 55′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blockedPrzemysław Frankowski · RC Lens · 72′ · 0.44 xG · on targetElye Wahi · RC Lens · 90′ · 0.47 xG · on targetPrzemysław Frankowski · RC Lens · 72′ · 0.56 xG · off target or blockedElye Wahi · RC Lens · 4′ · 0.62 xG · goalFlorian Sotoca · RC Lens · 26′ · 0.66 xG · on targetDeiver Machado · RC Lens · 45′ · 0.72 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RC Lens: 27 shots, 13 on target, 5.53 xG. Montpellier: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.82 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0360′HT90′Elye Wahi · RC Lens · 4′Deiver Machado · RC Lens · 45′Othmane Maamma · Montpellier · 58′Lucas Mincarelli · Montpellier · 74′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RC Lens 5.53 xG · Montpellier 0.82 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2RC Lens
2Draws
1Montpellier
Montpellier — RC Lens · Ligue 10–0
Montpellier — RC Lens · Ligue 11–1
RC Lens — Montpellier · Ligue 11–0
RC Lens — Montpellier · Ligue 12–0
Montpellier — RC Lens · Ligue 11–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Lens favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Montpellier in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Lens34 matchesMontpellier34 matches
1.32 goals/matchGoals scored34/341.26 goals/match
1.09 goals/match ▲Goals allowed34/341.41 goals/match
1.61 xG/match ▲Expected goals34/341.38 xG/match
14.5 shots/match ▲Shots34/3413.1 shots/match
5.21 shots/match ▲Shots on target34/344.88 shots/match
52.9% ●Possession34/3444.4%
5.15 corners/match ●Corners34/344.06 corners/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls34/3412.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 May 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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