PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

Stade Rennais 1–1 RC Lens · Ligue 1

1–1Historical match

RC Lens

DLWLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stade Rennais and RC Lens drew 1–1.

Shots
168
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
1.90.58
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Stade Rennais and RC Lens drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Stade Rennais – RC Lens): shots 16–8, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.9–0.58, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Stade Rennais's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Stade Rennais's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.58 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.58 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots8 shotsStade Rennais 16 shots, RC Lens 8 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsStade Rennais 6 shots, RC Lens 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.9 xG0.58 xGStade Rennais 1.9 xG, RC Lens 0.58 xG
  • Possession57%43%Stade Rennais 57%, RC Lens 43%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersStade Rennais 4 corners, RC Lens 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls14 foulsStade Rennais 12 fouls, RC Lens 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Baptiste Santamaria · Stade Rennais · 21′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Blas · Stade Rennais · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAmine Gouiri · Stade Rennais · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDeiver Machado · RC Lens · 29′ · 0.02 xG · on targetArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBertuğ Yıldırım · Stade Rennais · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Bourigeaud · Stade Rennais · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJeanuël Belocian · Stade Rennais · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAmine Gouiri · Stade Rennais · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAngelo Fulgini · RC Lens · 44′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAngelo Fulgini · RC Lens · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Gradit · RC Lens · 29′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Stade Rennais · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDavid Pereira Da Costa · RC Lens · 18′ · 0.06 xG · on targetWesley Saïd · RC Lens · 28′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 32′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAngelo Fulgini · RC Lens · 69′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedBaptiste Santamaria · Stade Rennais · 10′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAmine Gouiri · Stade Rennais · 36′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedBertuğ Yıldırım · Stade Rennais · 76′ · 0.16 xG · on targetAngelo Fulgini · RC Lens · 48′ · 0.22 xG · goalBertuğ Yıldırım · Stade Rennais · 82′ · 0.29 xG · on targetIbrahim Salah · Stade Rennais · 82′ · 0.46 xG · goalDésiré Doué · Stade Rennais · 63′ · 0.55 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Stade Rennais: 16 shots, 6 on target, 2.00 xG. RC Lens: 8 shots, 4 on target, 0.60 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Ibrahim Salah · Stade Rennais · 82′Angelo Fulgini · RC Lens · 48′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Stade Rennais 2.00 xG · RC Lens 0.60 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Stade Rennais
2Draws
3RC Lens
RC Lens — Stade Rennais · Ligue 11–1
Stade Rennais — RC Lens · Ligue 10–1
RC Lens — Stade Rennais · Ligue 12–1
RC Lens — Stade Rennais · Ligue 11–0
Stade Rennais — RC Lens · Ligue 11–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Rennais favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · RC Lens in 4 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Rennais33 matchesRC Lens33 matches
1.58 goals/match ▲Goals scored33/331.3 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲ 1.06 goals/match
1.58 xG/matchExpected goals33/331.5 xG/match
14.3 shots/matchShots33/3314.2 shots/match
4.97 shots/matchShots on target33/334.97 shots/match
51.8%Possession33/33● 52.8%
4.64 corners/matchCorners33/33● 5.27 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls33/3313.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 May 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStade RennaisRC Lens
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headStade Rennais — RC Lens
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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