PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Paris Saint-Germain 4–2 RC Strasbourg · Ligue 1

4–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain won 4–2.

Shots
1816
Shots on target
108
Expected goals
3.491.96
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint-Germain beat RC Strasbourg 4–2. Recorded in this match (Paris Saint-Germain – RC Strasbourg): shots 18–16, shots on target 10–8, expected goals 3.49–1.96, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Paris Saint-Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Paris Saint-Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.3 shots/match ▲ShotsParis Saint-Germain · RC Strasbourg12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint-GermainRC StrasbourgBaseline
Shots18.3 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against8.88 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Paris Saint-Germain have a visible home split

weak

Paris Saint-Germain's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

22.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season18.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots22.5 shots/match18.3 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Paris Saint-Germain's recent record differs from the season

weak

Paris Saint-Germain's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season3.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match3.13 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots16 shotsParis Saint-Germain 18 shots, RC Strasbourg 16 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots8 shotsParis Saint-Germain 10 shots, RC Strasbourg 8 shots
  • Expected goals3.49 xG1.96 xGParis Saint-Germain 3.49 xG, RC Strasbourg 1.96 xG
  • Possession56%44%Paris Saint-Germain 56%, RC Strasbourg 44%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersParis Saint-Germain 5 corners, RC Strasbourg 5 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls12 foulsParis Saint-Germain 10 fouls, RC Strasbourg 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Dilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 26′ · 0.01 xG · on targetSebastian Nanasi · RC Strasbourg · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSékou Mara · RC Strasbourg · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDiego Moreira · RC Strasbourg · 52′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSékou Mara · RC Strasbourg · 70′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 9′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSenny Mayulu · Paris Saint-Germain · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedWarren Zaïre-Emery · Paris Saint-Germain · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSenny Mayulu · Paris Saint-Germain · 12′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarco Asensio · Paris Saint-Germain · 21′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAndrey Santos · RC Strasbourg · 38′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAndrey Santos · RC Strasbourg · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSékou Mara · RC Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAndrey Santos · RC Strasbourg · 52′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 76′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 41′ · 0.07 xG · on targetDésiré Doué · Paris Saint-Germain · 47′ · 0.07 xG · on targetDiego Moreira · RC Strasbourg · 81′ · 0.07 xG · on targetDésiré Doué · Paris Saint-Germain · 89′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint-Germain · 6′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSenny Mayulu · Paris Saint-Germain · 17′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 66′ · 0.09 xG · goalBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 20′ · 0.10 xG · on targetSékou Mara · RC Strasbourg · 58′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedAbakar Sylla · RC Strasbourg · 4′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedKang-in Lee · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′ · 0.20 xG · goalSenny Mayulu · Paris Saint-Germain · 18′ · 0.30 xG · goalSenny Mayulu · Paris Saint-Germain · 42′ · 0.35 xG · off target or blockedSékou Mara · RC Strasbourg · 58′ · 0.40 xG · goalBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 56′ · 0.41 xG · on targetSenny Mayulu · Paris Saint-Germain · 50′ · 0.51 xG · on targetPape Diong · RC Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.83 xG · goalMarco Asensio · Paris Saint-Germain · 47′ · 0.94 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Paris Saint-Germain: 18 shots, 10 on target, 3.52 xG. RC Strasbourg: 16 shots, 8 on target, 1.95 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Senny Mayulu · Paris Saint-Germain · 18′Marco Asensio · Paris Saint-Germain · 47′Bradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 66′Kang-in Lee · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′Sékou Mara · RC Strasbourg · 58′Pape Diong · RC Strasbourg · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Paris Saint-Germain 3.52 xG · RC Strasbourg 1.95 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Paris Saint-Germain
2Draws
0RC Strasbourg
RC Strasbourg — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–2
Paris Saint-Germain — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 13–0
RC Strasbourg — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–1
Paris Saint-Germain — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 12–1
RC Strasbourg — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 13–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paris Saint-Germain favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · RC Strasbourg in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paris Saint-Germain8 matchesRC Strasbourg8 matches
3.13 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/82 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed8/82 goals/match
2.7 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/81.79 xG/match
18.3 shots/match ▲Shots8/812.1 shots/match
8.38 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/86.25 shots/match
67.1% ●Possession8/847.4%
7.38 corners/match ●Corners8/84.38 corners/match
9.13 fouls/matchFouls8/812.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Oct 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsParis Saint-GermainRC Strasbourg
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headParis Saint-Germain — RC Strasbourg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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