PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Stade Brestois 1–1 Stade Rennais · Ligue 1

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stade Brestois and Stade Rennais drew 1–1.

Shots
126
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
1.471.17
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Stade Brestois and Stade Rennais drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Stade Brestois – Stade Rennais): shots 12–6, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 1.47–1.17, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Stade Brestois's recent record differs from the season

weak

Stade Brestois's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.2 shots/match10.5 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots6 shotsStade Brestois 12 shots, Stade Rennais 6 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsStade Brestois 2 shots, Stade Rennais 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.47 xG1.17 xGStade Brestois 1.47 xG, Stade Rennais 1.17 xG
  • Possession56%44%Stade Brestois 56%, Stade Rennais 44%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersStade Brestois 2 corners, Stade Rennais 4 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls15 foulsStade Brestois 18 fouls, Stade Rennais 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jordan Amavi · Stade Brestois · 22′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPierre Lees Melou · Stade Brestois · 52′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAmine Gouiri · Stade Rennais · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMama Baldé · Stade Brestois · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMikayil Faye · Stade Rennais · 26′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMahdi Camara · Stade Brestois · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMahdi Camara · Stade Brestois · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Ndiaye · Stade Brestois · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 72′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAlidu Seidu · Stade Rennais · 84′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHugo Magnetti · Stade Brestois · 43′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBrendan Chardonnet · Stade Brestois · 68′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMathias Pereira Lage · Stade Brestois · 18′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMahdi Camara · Stade Brestois · 41′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedHugo Magnetti · Stade Brestois · 41′ · 0.25 xG · on targetRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois · 54′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Stade Brestois: 12 shots, 2 on target, 1.48 xG. Stade Rennais: 5 shots, 3 on target, 0.19 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Romain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois · 54′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Stade Brestois 1.48 xG · Stade Rennais 0.19 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Stade Brestois
1Draws
3Stade Rennais
Stade Rennais — Stade Brestois · Ligue 14–5
Stade Brestois — Stade Rennais · Ligue 10–0
Stade Brestois — Stade Rennais · Ligue 11–2
Stade Rennais — Stade Brestois · Ligue 13–1
Stade Rennais — Stade Brestois · Ligue 12–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Brestois favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Rennais in 7 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Brestois8 matchesStade Rennais8 matches
1.38 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goals8/81.25 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 12.9 shots/match
4.38 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 5.25 shots/match
49.1% ●Possession8/845.8%
3.13 corners/matchCorners8/8● 5.25 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls8/813.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 19 Oct 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStade BrestoisStade Rennais
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headStade Brestois — Stade Rennais
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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