PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Saint Etienne 0–2 Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 1

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Olympique de Marseille won 0–2.

Shots
321
Shots on target
210
Expected goals
0.162.51
Possession
31%69%

Full time

What the match recorded

Olympique de Marseille beat Saint-Étienne 2–0. Recorded in this match (Saint-Étienne – Olympique de Marseille): shots 3–21, shots on target 2–10, expected goals 0.16–2.51, possession 31%–69%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Saint-Étienne's recent record differs from the season

weak

Saint-Étienne's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.8 shots/match10.4 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Olympique de Marseille have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.1%PossessionSaint-Étienne · Olympique de Marseille● 60.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSaint-ÉtienneOlympique de MarseilleBaseline
Possession40.1%60.4%48%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Saint-Étienne have a visible home split

moderate

Saint-Étienne's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12 shots/match10.4 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots3 shots21 shotsSaint Etienne 3 shots, Olympique de Marseille 21 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots10 shotsSaint Etienne 2 shots, Olympique de Marseille 10 shots
  • Expected goals0.16 xG2.51 xGSaint Etienne 0.16 xG, Olympique de Marseille 2.51 xG
  • Possession31%69%Saint Etienne 31%, Olympique de Marseille 69%
  • Corners0 corners9 cornersSaint Etienne 0 corners, Olympique de Marseille 9 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls10 foulsSaint Etienne 13 fouls, Olympique de Marseille 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 5′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Rabiot · Olympique de Marseille · 50′ · 0.02 xG · on targetQuentin Merlin · Olympique de Marseille · 28′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLucas Stassin · Saint-Étienne · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedValentin Rongier · Olympique de Marseille · 49′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAyman Aiki · Saint-Étienne · 73′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAdrien Rabiot · Olympique de Marseille · 52′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedElye Wahi · Olympique de Marseille · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Rabiot · Olympique de Marseille · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedQuentin Merlin · Olympique de Marseille · 10′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Rabiot · Olympique de Marseille · 27′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 31′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAmir Murillo · Olympique de Marseille · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 51′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedZuriko Davitashvili · Saint-Étienne · 3′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 38′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedValentin Rongier · Olympique de Marseille · 59′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 88′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 71′ · 0.14 xG · on targetElye Wahi · Olympique de Marseille · 86′ · 0.15 xG · on targetAdrien Rabiot · Olympique de Marseille · 17′ · 0.40 xG · goalMason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 65′ · 0.70 xG · goalMason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 65′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Saint-Étienne: 3 shots, 2 on target, 0.15 xG. Olympique de Marseille: 21 shots, 10 on target, 3.09 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Adrien Rabiot · Olympique de Marseille · 17′Mason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 65′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Saint-Étienne 0.15 xG · Olympique de Marseille 3.09 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Saint Etienne
0Draws
2Olympique de Marseille
Saint Etienne — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 12–4
Olympique de Marseille — Saint Etienne · Ligue 13–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Saint Etienne favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Olympique de Marseille in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Saint Etienne14 matchesOlympique de Marseille14 matches
0.79 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 2.21 goals/match
2.29 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 1.21 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲ 1.59 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots14/14▲ 12.8 shots/match
3.36 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲ 5.36 shots/match
40.1%Possession14/14● 60.4%
2.86 corners/matchCorners14/14● 3.43 corners/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls14/1411.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Dec 2024, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSaint EtienneOlympique de Marseille
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headSaint Etienne — Olympique de Marseille
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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