PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Nantes 1–0 Stade Rennais · Ligue 1

Nantes

LLLLD
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Nantes won 1–0.

Shots
145
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
1.190.39
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nantes beat Stade Rennais 1–0. Recorded in this match (Nantes – Stade Rennais): shots 14–5, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 1.19–0.39, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Stade Rennais's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Stade Rennais's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.2 shots/match11.7 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Stade Rennais have a visible away split

moderate

Stade Rennais's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.71 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.71 shots/match11.7 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

4.93 corners/matchCornersNantes · Stade Rennais● 5.93 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricNantesStade RennaisBaseline
Corners4.93 corners/match5.93 corners/match4.46 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots5 shotsNantes 14 shots, Stade Rennais 5 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsNantes 2 shots, Stade Rennais 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.19 xG0.39 xGNantes 1.19 xG, Stade Rennais 0.39 xG
  • Possession46%54%Nantes 46%, Stade Rennais 54%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersNantes 5 corners, Stade Rennais 5 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls9 foulsNantes 15 fouls, Stade Rennais 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Augusto Douglas · Nantes · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Blas · Stade Rennais · 64′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMoses Simon · Nantes · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJohann Lepenant · Nantes · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJohann Lepenant · Nantes · 80′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJohann Lepenant · Nantes · 38′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAmine Gouiri · Stade Rennais · 40′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 68′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMoses Simon · Nantes · 89′ · 0.04 xG · goalMikayil Faye · Stade Rennais · 26′ · 0.07 xG · on targetLeo Østigård · Stade Rennais · 30′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 80′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 28′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 50′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 71′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAmine Gouiri · Stade Rennais · 45′ · 0.18 xG · on targetNicolas Cozza · Nantes · 73′ · 0.47 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Nantes: 14 shots, 2 on target, 1.21 xG. Stade Rennais: 5 shots, 3 on target, 0.39 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Moses Simon · Nantes · 89′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nantes 1.21 xG · Stade Rennais 0.39 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Nantes
0Draws
4Stade Rennais
Nantes — Stade Rennais · Ligue 10–3
Stade Rennais — Nantes · Ligue 13–1
Nantes — Stade Rennais · Ligue 10–1
Stade Rennais — Nantes · Ligue 13–0
Nantes — Stade Rennais · Ligue 12–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nantes favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Rennais in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nantes14 matchesStade Rennais14 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 1.29 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed14/141.43 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲ 1.21 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots14/14▲ 11.7 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲ 4.57 shots/match
42%Possession14/14● 52%
4.93 corners/matchCorners14/14● 5.93 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls14/1413.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Dec 2024, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNantesStade Rennais
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headNantes — Stade Rennais
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required