PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

AS Monaco 3–2 Stade Rennais · Ligue 1

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

AS Monaco won 3–2.

Shots
2014
Shots on target
105
Expected goals
3.531.77
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

AS Monaco beat Stade Rennais 3–2. Recorded in this match (AS Monaco – Stade Rennais): shots 20–14, shots on target 10–5, expected goals 3.53–1.77, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Stade Rennais have a visible away split

moderate

Stade Rennais's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.44 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.44 shots/match11.7 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Stade Rennais's recent record differs from the season

weak

Stade Rennais's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.37 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.37 goals/match1.35 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13.5 fouls/matchFoulsAS Monaco · Stade Rennais13.7 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAS MonacoStade RennaisBaseline
Fouls13.5 fouls/match13.7 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots14 shotsAS Monaco 20 shots, Stade Rennais 14 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots5 shotsAS Monaco 10 shots, Stade Rennais 5 shots
  • Expected goals3.53 xG1.77 xGAS Monaco 3.53 xG, Stade Rennais 1.77 xG
  • Possession52%48%AS Monaco 52%, Stade Rennais 48%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersAS Monaco 4 corners, Stade Rennais 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls16 foulsAS Monaco 12 fouls, Stade Rennais 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mika Biereth · AS Monaco · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMahamadou Nagida · Stade Rennais · 46′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVanderson · AS Monaco · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Wooh · Stade Rennais · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrés Gómez · Stade Rennais · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJordan James · Stade Rennais · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 32′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLamine Camara · AS Monaco · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Truffert · Stade Rennais · 43′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLudovic Blas · Stade Rennais · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMika Biereth · AS Monaco · 52′ · 0.04 xG · goalArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 18′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDenis Zakaria · AS Monaco · 23′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAleksandr Golovin · AS Monaco · 50′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Wooh · Stade Rennais · 45′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAmine Gouiri · Stade Rennais · 65′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 15′ · 0.10 xG · goalTakumi Minamino · AS Monaco · 13′ · 0.11 xG · on targetVanderson · AS Monaco · 17′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLucas Michal · AS Monaco · 76′ · 0.15 xG · on targetThilo Kehrer · AS Monaco · 32′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 90′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMika Biereth · AS Monaco · 50′ · 0.22 xG · on targetLudovic Blas · Stade Rennais · 20′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Kader Meite · Stade Rennais · 90′ · 0.23 xG · on targetAleksandr Golovin · AS Monaco · 17′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedTakumi Minamino · AS Monaco · 10′ · 0.32 xG · on targetAmine Gouiri · Stade Rennais · 67′ · 0.34 xG · goalMaghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 88′ · 0.34 xG · on targetMika Biereth · AS Monaco · 89′ · 0.40 xG · on targetMahamadou Nagida · Stade Rennais · 45′ · 0.52 xG · goalTakumi Minamino · AS Monaco · 17′ · 0.55 xG · on targetAleksandr Golovin · AS Monaco · 56′ · 0.60 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

AS Monaco: 20 shots, 10 on target, 3.80 xG. Stade Rennais: 14 shots, 5 on target, 1.82 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Maghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 15′Mika Biereth · AS Monaco · 52′Aleksandr Golovin · AS Monaco · 56′Mahamadou Nagida · Stade Rennais · 45′Amine Gouiri · Stade Rennais · 67′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AS Monaco 3.80 xG · Stade Rennais 1.82 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3AS Monaco
1Draws
1Stade Rennais
Stade Rennais — AS Monaco · Ligue 11–2
AS Monaco — Stade Rennais · Ligue 11–0
Stade Rennais — AS Monaco · Ligue 11–2
Stade Rennais — AS Monaco · Ligue 12–0
AS Monaco — Stade Rennais · Ligue 11–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AS Monaco favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Rennais in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AS Monaco19 matchesStade Rennais19 matches
1.68 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/191.37 goals/match
1.16 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/191.58 goals/match
2.15 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/191.27 xG/match
15 shots/match ▲Shots19/1911.7 shots/match
5.47 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/194.79 shots/match
56.9% ●Possession19/1951.5%
5.26 corners/match ●Corners19/195.05 corners/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls19/1913.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Jan 2025, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAS MonacoStade Rennais
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headAS Monaco — Stade Rennais
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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