PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

RC Strasbourg 2–1 Lille · Ligue 1

2–1Historical match

Lille

WDDDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RC Strasbourg won 2–1.

Shots
1115
Shots on target
76
Expected goals
1.061.76
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

RC Strasbourg beat Lille 2–1. Recorded in this match (RC Strasbourg – Lille): shots 11–15, shots on target 7–6, expected goals 1.06–1.76, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lille's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lille's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.53 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.53 goals/match1.34 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

RC Strasbourg show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

RC Strasbourg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsRC Strasbourg · Lille12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRC StrasbourgLilleBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match12.2 shots/match11.7 shots/match
Shots against13.9 shots/match9.74 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Lille have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.4%PossessionRC Strasbourg · Lille● 57.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRC StrasbourgLilleBaseline
Possession47.4%57.8%47.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots15 shotsRC Strasbourg 11 shots, Lille 15 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots6 shotsRC Strasbourg 7 shots, Lille 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.06 xG1.76 xGRC Strasbourg 1.06 xG, Lille 1.76 xG
  • Possession42%58%RC Strasbourg 42%, Lille 58%
  • Corners6 corners7 cornersRC Strasbourg 6 corners, Lille 7 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls9 foulsRC Strasbourg 10 fouls, Lille 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Félix Lemaréchal · RC Strasbourg · 39′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMohamed Bayo · Lille · 72′ · 0.01 xG · on targetThomas Meunier · Lille · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThomas Meunier · Lille · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHabib Diarra · RC Strasbourg · 59′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFélix Lemaréchal · RC Strasbourg · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndrey Santos · RC Strasbourg · 70′ · 0.03 xG · goalAïssa Mandi · Lille · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAngel Gomes · Lille · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Gudmundsson · Lille · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOsame Sahraoui · Lille · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedThomas Meunier · Lille · 17′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAndrey Santos · RC Strasbourg · 84′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJeremy Sebas · RC Strasbourg · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 4′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMitchel Bakker · Lille · 49′ · 0.08 xG · on targetEmmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 57′ · 0.08 xG · on targetThomas Meunier · Lille · 73′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 54′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAïssa Mandi · Lille · 17′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 27′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedOsame Sahraoui · Lille · 8′ · 0.23 xG · goalOsame Sahraoui · Lille · 41′ · 0.37 xG · on targetEmmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 74′ · 0.54 xG · goalRémy Cabella · Lille · 87′ · 0.55 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RC Strasbourg: 11 shots, 7 on target, 1.08 xG. Lille: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.70 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Andrey Santos · RC Strasbourg · 70′Emmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 74′Osame Sahraoui · Lille · 8′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RC Strasbourg 1.08 xG · Lille 1.70 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1RC Strasbourg
1Draws
3Lille
Lille — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 13–3
Lille — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 11–0
RC Strasbourg — Lille · Ligue 12–1
Lille — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 12–0
RC Strasbourg — Lille · Ligue 10–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Strasbourg favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Lille in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Strasbourg19 matchesLille19 matches
1.74 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/191.53 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲ 1 goal/match
1.45 xG/matchExpected goals18/19▲ 1.63 xG/match
10.2 shots/matchShots18/19▲ 12.2 shots/match
4.78 shots/matchShots on target18/194.58 shots/match
47.4%Possession18/19● 57.8%
3.94 corners/matchCorners18/19● 4.68 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls18/1912 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Jan 2025, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRC StrasbourgLille
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headRC Strasbourg — Lille
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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