PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

Borussia M'gladbach 1–2 FC Bayern München · Bundesliga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München won 1–2.

Shots
725
Shots on target
38
Expected goals
0.352.37
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Bayern München beat Borussia M'gladbach 2–1. Recorded in this match (Borussia M'gladbach – FC Bayern München): shots 7–25, shots on target 3–8, expected goals 0.35–2.37, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Bayern München show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

FC Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.67 shots/match ▲ShotsBorussia M'gladbach · FC Bayern München23 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBorussia M'gladbachFC Bayern MünchenBaseline
Shots9.67 shots/match23 shots/match14.7 shots/match
Shots against23 shots/match7.67 shots/match15.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

FC Bayern München have recorded the higher season possession share.

39.7%PossessionBorussia M'gladbach · FC Bayern München● 66%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 26.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBorussia M'gladbachFC Bayern MünchenBaseline
Possession39.7%66%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots25 shotsBorussia M'gladbach 7 shots, FC Bayern München 25 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots8 shotsBorussia M'gladbach 3 shots, FC Bayern München 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.35 xG2.37 xGBorussia M'gladbach 0.35 xG, FC Bayern München 2.37 xG
  • Possession35%65%Borussia M'gladbach 35%, FC Bayern München 65%
  • Corners1 corner15 cornersBorussia M'gladbach 1 corner, FC Bayern München 15 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls20 foulsBorussia M'gladbach 5 fouls, FC Bayern München 20 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Marvin Friedrich · Borussia M'gladbach · 62′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFlorian Neuhaus · Borussia M'gladbach · 74′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMathys Tel · FC Bayern München · 89′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMaximilian Wöber · Borussia M'gladbach · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFranck Honorat · Borussia M'gladbach · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 22′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlphonso Davies · FC Bayern München · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 63′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSerge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSerge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMathys Tel · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 19′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJulian Weigl · Borussia M'gladbach · 32′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 39′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 78′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 3′ · 0.06 xG · on targetThomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 11′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMarvin Friedrich · Borussia M'gladbach · 26′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 38′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 39′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedThomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 56′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedEric Maxim Choupo-Moting · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.11 xG · on targetMathys Tel · FC Bayern München · 87′ · 0.12 xG · goalKo Itakura · Borussia M'gladbach · 30′ · 0.18 xG · goalHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 72′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 54′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 58′ · 0.43 xG · goalSerge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 70′ · 0.44 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Borussia M'gladbach: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.35 xG. FC Bayern München: 25 shots, 7 on target, 2.35 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Ko Itakura · Borussia M'gladbach · 30′Leroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 58′Mathys Tel · FC Bayern München · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia M'gladbach 0.35 xG · FC Bayern München 2.35 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Borussia M'gladbach
2Draws
0FC Bayern München
Borussia M'gladbach — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga3–2
FC Bayern München — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga1–1
FC Bayern München — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga1–2
Borussia M'gladbach — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia M'gladbach favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FC Bayern München in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia M'gladbach3 matchesFC Bayern München3 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 3 goals/match
3 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 0.67 goals/match
1 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 2.71 xG/match
9.67 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 23 shots/match
3.67 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 7.67 shots/match
39.7%Possession3/3● 66%
4.33 corners/matchCorners3/3● 10.3 corners/match
8.33 fouls/matchFouls3/315 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Sept 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia M'gladbachFC Bayern München
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headBorussia M'gladbach — FC Bayern München
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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