Bundesliga · 2023Sun, 3 Sept 2023, 15:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

1. FC Union Berlin

0–3Full-time recap

RB Leipzig

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	1. FC Union Berlin	RB Leipzig
Shots	3 shots/match	14 shots/match▲
Shots on target	1 shots/match	7 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.32 xG/match	1.16 xG/match▲
Possession	35%	65%●
Corners	3 corners/match	7 corners/match●
Fouls	16 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

1. FC Union Berlin: 3 shots, 1 on target, 0.33 xG. RB Leipzig: 14 shots, 7 on target, 1.12 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Union Berlin 0.33 xG · RB Leipzig 1.12 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: 1. FC Union Berlin's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: RB Leipzig have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

1. FC Union Berlin show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

1. FC Union Berlin's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9 shots/match▲Shots1. FC Union Berlin · RB Leipzig16 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	1. FC Union Berlin	RB Leipzig	Baseline
Shots	9 shots/match	16 shots/match	14 shots/match
Shots against	15 shots/match	7.67 shots/match	15 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

RB Leipzig have recorded the higher season possession share.

35.7%Possession1. FC Union Berlin · RB Leipzig●58%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 22.3 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	1. FC Union Berlin	RB Leipzig	Baseline
Possession	35.7%	58%	49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

41. FC Union Berlin

0Draws

0RB Leipzig

11 Feb 2023RB Leipzig — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga1–2

20 Aug 20221. FC Union Berlin — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga2–1

23 Apr 2022RB Leipzig — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga1–2

3 Dec 20211. FC Union Berlin — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

1. FC Union Berlin favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · RB Leipzig in 0 · 13 too close

2.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/33.33 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/31.33 goals/match

1.32 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/31.5 xG/match

1.91 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/30.96 xG/match

9 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/316 shots/match

15 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/37.67 shots/match

4.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/38 shots/match

5.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/34 shots/match

35.7%Possessionseason · 3/3●58%

3.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/3●5.33 corners/match

3.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/33.67 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

14.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/310.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/333%

67%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/3100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

1. FC Union Berlin2.8

RB Leipzig75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

1. FC Union Berlin39.8

RB Leipzig84.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

1. FC Union Berlin50

RB Leipzig76.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

1. FC Union Berlin30.6

RB Leipzig52.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

1. FC Union Berlin72.2

RB Leipzig44.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

1. FC Union Berlin33.3

RB Leipzig77.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

1. FC Union Berlin37.5

RB Leipzig72.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

1. FC Union Berlin3 matchesRB Leipzig3 matches

2.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲3.33 goals/match

1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲1.33 goals/match

1.32 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲1.5 xG/match

9 shots/matchShots3/3▲16 shots/match

4.33 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲8 shots/match

35.7%Possession3/3●58%

3.67 corners/matchCorners3/3●5.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.3 fouls/matchFouls3/310.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

1. FC Union Berlin2 matchesRB Leipzig2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8.08 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/18.88 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 3home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Sept 2023, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4