PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

1. FC Union Berlin 0–3 RB Leipzig · Bundesliga

0–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RB Leipzig won 0–3.

Shots
314
Shots on target
17
Expected goals
0.321.16
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

RB Leipzig beat 1. FC Union Berlin 3–0. Recorded in this match (1. FC Union Berlin – RB Leipzig): shots 3–14, shots on target 1–7, expected goals 0.32–1.16, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Union Berlin show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

1. FC Union Berlin's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9 shots/match ▲Shots1. FC Union Berlin · RB Leipzig16 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric1. FC Union BerlinRB LeipzigBaseline
Shots9 shots/match16 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against15 shots/match7.67 shots/match15 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

RB Leipzig have recorded the higher season possession share.

35.7%Possession1. FC Union Berlin · RB Leipzig● 58%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 22.3 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric1. FC Union BerlinRB LeipzigBaseline
Possession35.7%58%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots3 shots14 shots1. FC Union Berlin 3 shots, RB Leipzig 14 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot7 shots1. FC Union Berlin 1 shot, RB Leipzig 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.32 xG1.16 xG1. FC Union Berlin 0.32 xG, RB Leipzig 1.16 xG
  • Possession35%65%1. FC Union Berlin 35%, RB Leipzig 65%
  • Corners3 corners7 corners1. FC Union Berlin 3 corners, RB Leipzig 7 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls9 fouls1. FC Union Berlin 16 fouls, RB Leipzig 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Xavi Simons · RB Leipzig · 18′ · 0.02 xG · on targetXaver Schlager · RB Leipzig · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlex Král · 1. FC Union Berlin · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKevin Kampl · RB Leipzig · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYussuf Poulsen · RB Leipzig · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Simakan · RB Leipzig · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDavid Datro Fofana · 1. FC Union Berlin · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedXavi Simons · RB Leipzig · 59′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEmil Forsberg · RB Leipzig · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDani Olmo · RB Leipzig · 76′ · 0.08 xG · on targetWilli Orbán · RB Leipzig · 76′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Henrichs · RB Leipzig · 82′ · 0.08 xG · on targetXavi Simons · RB Leipzig · 51′ · 0.09 xG · goalBenjamin Šeško · RB Leipzig · 85′ · 0.17 xG · goalKevin Volland · 1. FC Union Berlin · 13′ · 0.26 xG · on targetBenjamin Šeško · RB Leipzig · 87′ · 0.36 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Union Berlin: 3 shots, 1 on target, 0.33 xG. RB Leipzig: 14 shots, 7 on target, 1.12 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Xavi Simons · RB Leipzig · 51′Benjamin Šeško · RB Leipzig · 85′Benjamin Šeško · RB Leipzig · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Union Berlin 0.33 xG · RB Leipzig 1.12 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

41. FC Union Berlin
0Draws
0RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga1–2
1. FC Union Berlin — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga2–1
RB Leipzig — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga1–2
1. FC Union Berlin — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Union Berlin favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · RB Leipzig in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Union Berlin3 matchesRB Leipzig3 matches
2.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 3.33 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 1.5 xG/match
9 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 16 shots/match
4.33 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 8 shots/match
35.7%Possession3/3● 58%
3.67 corners/matchCorners3/3● 5.33 corners/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls3/310.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Sept 2023, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC Union BerlinRB Leipzig
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-head1. FC Union Berlin — RB Leipzig
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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