PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

Borussia M'gladbach 0–1 RB Leipzig · Bundesliga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RB Leipzig won 0–1.

Shots
148
Shots on target
14
Expected goals
0.80.72
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

RB Leipzig beat Borussia M'gladbach 1–0. Recorded in this match (Borussia M'gladbach – RB Leipzig): shots 14–8, shots on target 1–4, expected goals 0.8–0.72, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RB Leipzig show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

RB Leipzig's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsBorussia M'gladbach · RB Leipzig13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBorussia M'gladbachRB LeipzigBaseline
Shots13 shots/match13 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against18.4 shots/match10.6 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Borussia M'gladbach have a visible home split

weak

Borussia M'gladbach's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11 shots/match13 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

RB Leipzig have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.6%PossessionBorussia M'gladbach · RB Leipzig● 56.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBorussia M'gladbachRB LeipzigBaseline
Possession45.6%56.6%47.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots8 shotsBorussia M'gladbach 14 shots, RB Leipzig 8 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot4 shotsBorussia M'gladbach 1 shot, RB Leipzig 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.8 xG0.72 xGBorussia M'gladbach 0.8 xG, RB Leipzig 0.72 xG
  • Possession45%55%Borussia M'gladbach 45%, RB Leipzig 55%
  • Corners11 corners6 cornersBorussia M'gladbach 11 corners, RB Leipzig 6 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls7 foulsBorussia M'gladbach 14 fouls, RB Leipzig 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nathan N'Goumou · Borussia M'gladbach · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRocco Reitz · Borussia M'gladbach · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFabio Carvalho · RB Leipzig · 44′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRocco Reitz · Borussia M'gladbach · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKo Itakura · Borussia M'gladbach · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Wöber · Borussia M'gladbach · 6′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJulian Weigl · Borussia M'gladbach · 21′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 47′ · 0.04 xG · on targetNico Elvedi · Borussia M'gladbach · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTimo Werner · RB Leipzig · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRocco Reitz · Borussia M'gladbach · 11′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedXavi Simons · RB Leipzig · 61′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNico Elvedi · Borussia M'gladbach · 63′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTimo Werner · RB Leipzig · 80′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRobin Hack · Borussia M'gladbach · 84′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Šeško · RB Leipzig · 19′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Henrichs · RB Leipzig · 40′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNico Elvedi · Borussia M'gladbach · 25′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRocco Reitz · Borussia M'gladbach · 63′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMaximilian Wöber · Borussia M'gladbach · 69′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJulian Weigl · Borussia M'gladbach · 23′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedTimo Werner · RB Leipzig · 75′ · 0.39 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Borussia M'gladbach: 14 shots, 1 on target, 0.77 xG. RB Leipzig: 8 shots, 4 on target, 0.74 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Timo Werner · RB Leipzig · 75′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia M'gladbach 0.77 xG · RB Leipzig 0.74 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Borussia M'gladbach
0Draws
2RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga3–0
Borussia M'gladbach — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga3–0
Borussia M'gladbach — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga3–1
RB Leipzig — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia M'gladbach favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · RB Leipzig in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia M'gladbach5 matchesRB Leipzig5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 2.8 goals/match
2.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 0.8 goals/match
1.53 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.26 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots5/513 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 6.8 shots/match
45.6%Possession5/5● 56.6%
6 corners/match ●Corners5/54.6 corners/match
9.4 fouls/matchFouls5/510.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Sept 2023, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia M'gladbachRB Leipzig
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headBorussia M'gladbach — RB Leipzig
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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