PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

Borussia Dortmund 0–4 FC Bayern München · Bundesliga

0–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München won 0–4.

Shots
1514
Shots on target
18
Expected goals
0.963.38
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Bayern München beat Borussia Dortmund 4–0. Recorded in this match (Borussia Dortmund – FC Bayern München): shots 15–14, shots on target 1–8, expected goals 0.96–3.38, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Bayern München show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.1 shots/match ▲ShotsBorussia Dortmund · FC Bayern München19.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBorussia DortmundFC Bayern MünchenBaseline
Shots15.1 shots/match19.9 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against12.6 shots/match8.8 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5 corners/matchCornersBorussia Dortmund · FC Bayern München● 7 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricBorussia DortmundFC Bayern MünchenBaseline
Corners5 corners/match7 corners/match4.32 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots14 shotsBorussia Dortmund 15 shots, FC Bayern München 14 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot8 shotsBorussia Dortmund 1 shot, FC Bayern München 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.96 xG3.38 xGBorussia Dortmund 0.96 xG, FC Bayern München 3.38 xG
  • Possession50%50%Borussia Dortmund 50%, FC Bayern München 50%
  • Corners3 corners2 cornersBorussia Dortmund 3 corners, FC Bayern München 2 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls6 foulsBorussia Dortmund 13 fouls, FC Bayern München 6 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Julian Ryerson · Borussia Dortmund · 12′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNico Schlotterbeck · Borussia Dortmund · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarcel Sabitzer · Borussia Dortmund · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNico Schlotterbeck · Borussia Dortmund · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 64′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 64′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFelix Nmecha · Borussia Dortmund · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarcel Sabitzer · Borussia Dortmund · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarco Reus · Borussia Dortmund · 64′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 38′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 78′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarco Reus · Borussia Dortmund · 26′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 52′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 36′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMarco Reus · Borussia Dortmund · 56′ · 0.10 xG · on targetMarcel Sabitzer · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 6′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedNoussair Mazraoui · FC Bayern München · 47′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedYoussoufa Moukoko · Borussia Dortmund · 87′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 45′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 47′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 58′ · 0.23 xG · on targetHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.24 xG · goalDayot Upamecano · FC Bayern München · 4′ · 0.44 xG · goalJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 46′ · 0.46 xG · on targetHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 9′ · 0.59 xG · goalHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 72′ · 0.59 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Borussia Dortmund: 15 shots, 1 on target, 0.98 xG. FC Bayern München: 14 shots, 8 on target, 3.28 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Dayot Upamecano · FC Bayern München · 4′Harry Kane · FC Bayern München · 9′Harry Kane · FC Bayern München · 72′Harry Kane · FC Bayern München · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia Dortmund 0.98 xG · FC Bayern München 3.28 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Borussia Dortmund
1Draws
3FC Bayern München
FC Bayern München — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga4–2
Borussia Dortmund — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga2–2
FC Bayern München — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga3–1
Borussia Dortmund — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia Dortmund favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FC Bayern München in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia Dortmund10 matchesFC Bayern München10 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 3.8 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 0.7 goals/match
1.98 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲ 3.11 xG/match
15.1 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 19.9 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲ 8.7 shots/match
59.2%Possession10/10● 61.2%
5 corners/matchCorners10/10● 7 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1010.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Nov 2023, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia DortmundFC Bayern München
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headBorussia Dortmund — FC Bayern München
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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