PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

SV Werder Bremen 1–1 RB Leipzig · Bundesliga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SV Werder Bremen and RB Leipzig drew 1–1.

Shots
1117
Shots on target
28
Expected goals
1.511.67
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

SV Werder Bremen and RB Leipzig drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (SV Werder Bremen – RB Leipzig): shots 11–17, shots on target 2–8, expected goals 1.51–1.67, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RB Leipzig's recent record differs from the season

moderate

RB Leipzig's last-five shots average is above their season average.

22.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season16.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots22.6 shots/match16.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for SV Werder Bremen, RB Leipzig.

3.92 days ▲Rest daysSV Werder Bremen · RB Leipzig3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSV Werder BremenRB LeipzigBaseline
Rest days3.92 days3 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

SV Werder Bremen show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

SV Werder Bremen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.1 shots/match ▲ShotsSV Werder Bremen · RB Leipzig16.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSV Werder BremenRB LeipzigBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match16.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against15.6 shots/match10.7 shots/match14.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots17 shotsSV Werder Bremen 11 shots, RB Leipzig 17 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots8 shotsSV Werder Bremen 2 shots, RB Leipzig 8 shots
  • Expected goals1.51 xG1.67 xGSV Werder Bremen 1.51 xG, RB Leipzig 1.67 xG
  • Possession44%56%SV Werder Bremen 44%, RB Leipzig 56%
  • Corners1 corner4 cornersSV Werder Bremen 1 corner, RB Leipzig 4 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls9 foulsSV Werder Bremen 15 fouls, RB Leipzig 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Amadou Haidara · RB Leipzig · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavid Raum · RB Leipzig · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChristoph Baumgartner · RB Leipzig · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Bittencourt · SV Werder Bremen · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJustin Njinmah · SV Werder Bremen · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedXavi Simons · RB Leipzig · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAmadou Haidara · RB Leipzig · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 38′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 71′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJustin Njinmah · SV Werder Bremen · 75′ · 0.05 xG · goalLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAmadou Haidara · RB Leipzig · 41′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 85′ · 0.08 xG · on targetXavi Simons · RB Leipzig · 23′ · 0.11 xG · on targetLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 47′ · 0.11 xG · on targetLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 59′ · 0.11 xG · on targetRafael Borré · SV Werder Bremen · 32′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRafael Borré · SV Werder Bremen · 32′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedXavi Simons · RB Leipzig · 20′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 56′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedYussuf Poulsen · RB Leipzig · 31′ · 0.23 xG · on targetMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 55′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 47′ · 0.28 xG · on targetJens Stage · SV Werder Bremen · 35′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedJustin Njinmah · SV Werder Bremen · 32′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 47′ · 0.38 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SV Werder Bremen: 11 shots, 1 on target, 1.52 xG. RB Leipzig: 17 shots, 8 on target, 1.82 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Justin Njinmah · SV Werder Bremen · 75′Loïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 47′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SV Werder Bremen 1.52 xG · RB Leipzig 1.82 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0SV Werder Bremen
0Draws
2RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga2–1
SV Werder Bremen — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SV Werder Bremen favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · RB Leipzig in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SV Werder Bremen16 matchesRB Leipzig16 matches
1.44 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲ 2.38 goals/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲ 1.06 goals/match
1.34 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲ 2.04 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots16/16▲ 16.4 shots/match
3.63 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲ 7 shots/match
47.1%Possession16/16● 57.8%
3.31 corners/matchCorners16/16● 6.13 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls16/1610.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 19 Dec 2023, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSV Werder BremenRB Leipzig
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headSV Werder Bremen — RB Leipzig
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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