PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

RB Leipzig 2–0 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RB Leipzig won 2–0.

Shots
1610
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.150.53
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

RB Leipzig beat 1. FC Union Berlin 2–0. Recorded in this match (RB Leipzig – 1. FC Union Berlin): shots 16–10, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.15–0.53, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Union Berlin's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Union Berlin's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.95 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.95 goals/match1.45 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

RB Leipzig have recorded the higher season possession share.

57% ●PossessionRB Leipzig · 1. FC Union Berlin42.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRB Leipzig1. FC Union BerlinBaseline
Possession57%42.8%47.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

1. FC Union Berlin show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

1. FC Union Berlin's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16.2 shots/match ▲ShotsRB Leipzig · 1. FC Union Berlin11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRB Leipzig1. FC Union BerlinBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against11.1 shots/match13.5 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots10 shotsRB Leipzig 16 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 10 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsRB Leipzig 6 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.15 xG0.53 xGRB Leipzig 1.15 xG, 1. FC Union Berlin 0.53 xG
  • Possession66%34%RB Leipzig 66%, 1. FC Union Berlin 34%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersRB Leipzig 5 corners, 1. FC Union Berlin 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls11 foulsRB Leipzig 13 fouls, 1. FC Union Berlin 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Benedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 62′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedXavi Simons · RB Leipzig · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedXavi Simons · RB Leipzig · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYorbe Vertessen · 1. FC Union Berlin · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYorbe Vertessen · 1. FC Union Berlin · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDani Olmo · RB Leipzig · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Šeško · RB Leipzig · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Trimmel · 1. FC Union Berlin · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedXavi Simons · RB Leipzig · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDavid Raum · RB Leipzig · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 22′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedXavi Simons · RB Leipzig · 43′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDani Olmo · RB Leipzig · 53′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKevin Kampl · RB Leipzig · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRobin Gosens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 1′ · 0.05 xG · on targetBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 34′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLukas Klostermann · RB Leipzig · 54′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedXavi Simons · RB Leipzig · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 73′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Henrichs · RB Leipzig · 16′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Šeško · RB Leipzig · 45′ · 0.08 xG · on targetYorbe Vertessen · 1. FC Union Berlin · 31′ · 0.11 xG · on targetAissa Laïdouni · 1. FC Union Berlin · 65′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Henrichs · RB Leipzig · 11′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 11′ · 0.20 xG · goalBenjamin Šeško · RB Leipzig · 48′ · 0.24 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RB Leipzig: 16 shots, 6 on target, 1.13 xG. 1. FC Union Berlin: 10 shots, 2 on target, 0.54 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Loïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 11′Benjamin Šeško · RB Leipzig · 48′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RB Leipzig 1.13 xG · 1. FC Union Berlin 0.54 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1RB Leipzig
0Draws
41. FC Union Berlin
1. FC Union Berlin — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga0–3
RB Leipzig — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga1–2
1. FC Union Berlin — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga2–1
RB Leipzig — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga1–2
1. FC Union Berlin — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RB Leipzig favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Union Berlin in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RB Leipzig20 matches1. FC Union Berlin19 matches
2.2 goals/match ▲Goals scored20/190.95 goals/match
1.3 goals/match ▲Goals allowed20/191.79 goals/match
1.97 xG/match ▲Expected goals20/191.18 xG/match
16.2 shots/match ▲Shots20/1911.8 shots/match
6.7 shots/match ▲Shots on target20/194.21 shots/match
57% ●Possession20/1942.8%
6.1 corners/match ●Corners20/194.63 corners/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls20/1911.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 Feb 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRB Leipzig1. FC Union Berlin
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headRB Leipzig — 1. FC Union Berlin
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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