Bundesliga · 2023

FC Augsburg 2–1 SC Freiburg · Bundesliga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Augsburg won 2–1.

Shots
195
Shots on target
81
Expected goals
1.651.61
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Augsburg beat SC Freiburg 2–1. Recorded in this match (FC Augsburg – SC Freiburg): shots 19–5, shots on target 8–1, expected goals 1.65–1.61, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SC Freiburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SC Freiburg's last-five shots average is below their season average.

7.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots7.4 shots/match11.7 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

SC Freiburg have a visible away split

strong

SC Freiburg's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.75 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.75 shots/match11.7 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots5 shotsFC Augsburg 19 shots, SC Freiburg 5 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots1 shotFC Augsburg 8 shots, SC Freiburg 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.65 xG1.61 xGFC Augsburg 1.65 xG, SC Freiburg 1.61 xG
  • Possession63%37%FC Augsburg 63%, SC Freiburg 37%
  • Corners10 corners2 cornersFC Augsburg 10 corners, SC Freiburg 2 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls11 foulsFC Augsburg 16 fouls, SC Freiburg 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lukas Kübler · SC Freiburg · 16′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRubén Vargas · FC Augsburg · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChristian Günter · SC Freiburg · 39′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRubén Vargas · FC Augsburg · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRubén Vargas · FC Augsburg · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIago Borduchi · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRubén Vargas · FC Augsburg · 44′ · 0.04 xG · on targetManuel Gulde · SC Freiburg · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIago Borduchi · FC Augsburg · 21′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNiklas Dorsch · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedArne Engels · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFelix Uduokhai · FC Augsburg · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedIago Borduchi · FC Augsburg · 70′ · 0.06 xG · on targetErmedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 71′ · 0.07 xG · on targetPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 50′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedArne Maier · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.09 xG · on targetIago Borduchi · FC Augsburg · 3′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 61′ · 0.10 xG · on targetArne Engels · FC Augsburg · 81′ · 0.11 xG · goalPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 72′ · 0.12 xG · on targetErmedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 45′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedFelix Uduokhai · FC Augsburg · 72′ · 0.35 xG · goalRitsu Doan · SC Freiburg · 62′ · 0.72 xG · off target or blockedVincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 19′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Augsburg: 19 shots, 8 on target, 1.71 xG. SC Freiburg: 5 shots, 1 on target, 1.62 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Felix Uduokhai · FC Augsburg · 72′Arne Engels · FC Augsburg · 81′Vincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 19′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Augsburg 1.71 xG · SC Freiburg 1.62 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FC Augsburg
0Draws
5SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga2–0
SC Freiburg — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga3–1
FC Augsburg — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga0–4
FC Augsburg — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga1–2
SC Freiburg — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Augsburg favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · SC Freiburg in 6 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Augsburg23 matchesSC Freiburg23 matches
1.43 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/231.3 goals/match
1.78 goals/matchGoals allowed23/231.83 goals/match
1.39 xG/matchExpected goals23/23▲ 1.53 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots23/2311.7 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target23/23▲ 4.48 shots/match
42.7%Possession23/23● 46.7%
4.17 corners/match ●Corners23/234 corners/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls23/2310.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Feb 2024, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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