PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5–0 SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga

5–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 5–0.

Shots
207
Shots on target
103
Expected goals
3.20.67
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bayer 04 Leverkusen beat SV Werder Bremen 5–0. Recorded in this match (Bayer 04 Leverkusen – SV Werder Bremen): shots 20–7, shots on target 10–3, expected goals 3.2–0.67, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SV Werder Bremen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SV Werder Bremen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.24 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.24 goals/match1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

SV Werder Bremen show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

SV Werder Bremen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

18.4 shots/match ▲ShotsBayer 04 Leverkusen · SV Werder Bremen11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBayer 04 LeverkusenSV Werder BremenBaseline
Shots18.4 shots/match11.5 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against8.34 shots/match15.5 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have recorded the higher season possession share.

63.1% ●PossessionBayer 04 Leverkusen · SV Werder Bremen46.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBayer 04 LeverkusenSV Werder BremenBaseline
Possession63.1%46.9%47.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots7 shotsBayer 04 Leverkusen 20 shots, SV Werder Bremen 7 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots3 shotsBayer 04 Leverkusen 10 shots, SV Werder Bremen 3 shots
  • Expected goals3.2 xG0.67 xGBayer 04 Leverkusen 3.2 xG, SV Werder Bremen 0.67 xG
  • Possession56%44%Bayer 04 Leverkusen 56%, SV Werder Bremen 44%
  • Corners7 corners0 cornersBayer 04 Leverkusen 7 corners, SV Werder Bremen 0 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls4 foulsBayer 04 Leverkusen 10 fouls, SV Werder Bremen 4 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jonathan Tah · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 17′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Tah · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGranit Xhaka · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGranit Xhaka · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Bittencourt · SV Werder Bremen · 51′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 68′ · 0.02 xG · goalLeonardo Bittencourt · SV Werder Bremen · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAmine Adli · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEdmond Tapsoba · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen · 75′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJulián Malatini · SV Werder Bremen · 12′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGranit Xhaka · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 60′ · 0.04 xG · goalOlivier Deman · SV Werder Bremen · 75′ · 0.05 xG · on targetFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 65′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedExequiel Palacios · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 81′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNick Woltemade · SV Werder Bremen · 19′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Tah · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 29′ · 0.12 xG · on targetJonas Hofmann · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 35′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 71′ · 0.20 xG · on targetFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.24 xG · goalVictor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 29′ · 0.25 xG · on targetPiero Hincapié · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 8′ · 0.28 xG · on targetJeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 72′ · 0.30 xG · on targetMitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 45′ · 0.42 xG · on targetFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 83′ · 0.54 xG · goalVictor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 25′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 20 shots, 10 on target, 3.29 xG. SV Werder Bremen: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.68 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Victor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 25′Granit Xhaka · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 60′Florian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 68′Florian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 83′Florian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3.29 xG · SV Werder Bremen 0.68 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1Draws
0SV Werder Bremen
SV Werder Bremen — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga0–3
SV Werder Bremen — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga2–3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bayer 04 Leverkusen favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · SV Werder Bremen in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen29 matchesSV Werder Bremen29 matches
2.55 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/291.24 goals/match
0.66 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/291.69 goals/match
2.16 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/291.31 xG/match
18.4 shots/match ▲Shots29/2911.5 shots/match
7.14 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/293.59 shots/match
63.1% ●Possession29/2946.9%
7.21 corners/match ●Corners29/293.34 corners/match
9.1 fouls/matchFouls29/2912.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 Apr 2024, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBayer 04 LeverkusenSV Werder Bremen
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headBayer 04 Leverkusen — SV Werder Bremen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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