Bundesliga · 2024Sat, 14 Sept 2024, 13:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

RB Leipzig

0–0Full-time recap

1. FC Union Berlin

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	RB Leipzig	1. FC Union Berlin
Shots	15 shots/match▲	10 shots/match
Shots on target	3 shots/match	3 shots/match
Expected goals	1.29 xG/match▲	0.61 xG/match
Possession	68%●	32%
Corners	6 corners/match●	5 corners/match
Fouls	8 fouls/match	19 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

RB Leipzig: 15 shots, 3 on target, 1.32 xG. 1. FC Union Berlin: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.60 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RB Leipzig 1.32 xG · 1. FC Union Berlin 0.60 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: RB Leipzig have recorded the higher season possession share. A second useful context is: RB Leipzig's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

RB Leipzig have recorded the higher season possession share.

56%●PossessionRB Leipzig · 1. FC Union Berlin39.3%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.7 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	RB Leipzig	1. FC Union Berlin	Baseline
Possession	56%	39.3%	46.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

RB Leipzig show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

RB Leipzig's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12 shots/match▲ShotsRB Leipzig · 1. FC Union Berlin12 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	RB Leipzig	1. FC Union Berlin	Baseline
Shots	12 shots/match	12 shots/match	13.8 shots/match
Shots against	15.3 shots/match	12.3 shots/match	14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

2RB Leipzig

0Draws

31. FC Union Berlin

4 Feb 2024RB Leipzig — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga2–0

3 Sept 20231. FC Union Berlin — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga0–3

11 Feb 2023RB Leipzig — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga1–2

20 Aug 20221. FC Union Berlin — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga2–1

23 Apr 2022RB Leipzig — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

RB Leipzig favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · 1. FC Union Berlin in 0 · 13 too close

1.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/30.67 goals/match

0.67 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/30.33 goals/match

1.26 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/30.77 xG/match

1.27 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31 xG/match

12 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/312 shots/match

15.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/312.3 shots/match

3.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/34.33 shots/match

5.67 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/32.33 shots/match

56%●Possessionseason · 3/339.3%

5.67 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/3●6.33 corners/match

8.67 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/36 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

8.33 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/314.7 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

67%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/367%

67%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/367%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

RB Leipzig67.9

1. FC Union Berlin10.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

RB Leipzig16.7

1. FC Union Berlin21.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

RB Leipzig57.1

1. FC Union Berlin84.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

RB Leipzig3.6

1. FC Union Berlin60.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

RB Leipzig17.9

1. FC Union Berlin89.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

RB Leipzig67.9

1. FC Union Berlin78.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

RB Leipzig27.7

1. FC Union Berlin55.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

RB Leipzig3 matches1. FC Union Berlin3 matches

1.33 goals/match▲Goals scored3/30.67 goals/match

0.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲0.33 goals/match

1.26 xG/match▲Expected goals3/30.77 xG/match

12 shots/matchShots3/312 shots/match

3.33 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲4.33 shots/match

56%●Possession3/339.3%

5.67 corners/matchCorners3/3●6.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.33 fouls/matchFouls3/314.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

RB Leipzig2 matches1. FC Union Berlin2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.8 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 3home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Sept 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4