Bundesliga · 2024Sat, 14 Sept 2024, 13:30 UTCFull timeHistorical match

TSG Hoffenheim

1–4Historical match

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	TSG Hoffenheim	Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Shots	15 shots/match	20 shots/match▲
Shots on target	5 shots/match	8 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.92 xG/match	3.56 xG/match▲
Possession	40%	60%●
Corners	4 corners/match	12 corners/match●
Fouls	9 fouls/match	10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

TSG Hoffenheim: 15 shots, 5 on target, 0.91 xG. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 20 shots, 8 on target, 3.55 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: TSG Hoffenheim 0.91 xG · Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3.55 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Bayer 04 Leverkusen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Bayer 04 Leverkusen have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.7 shots/match▲ShotsTSG Hoffenheim · Bayer 04 Leverkusen23.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	TSG Hoffenheim	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Baseline
Shots	15.7 shots/match	23.7 shots/match	13.8 shots/match
Shots against	18.3 shots/match	12.3 shots/match	14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.3%PossessionTSG Hoffenheim · Bayer 04 Leverkusen●60.3%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.0 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	TSG Hoffenheim	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Baseline
Possession	48.3%	60.3%	46.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1TSG Hoffenheim

0Draws

4Bayer 04 Leverkusen

30 Mar 2024Bayer Leverkusen — 1899 Hoffenheim · Bundesliga2–1

4 Nov 20231899 Hoffenheim — Bayer Leverkusen · Bundesliga2–3

11 Feb 20231899 Hoffenheim — Bayer Leverkusen · Bundesliga1–3

20 Aug 2022Bayer Leverkusen — 1899 Hoffenheim · Bundesliga0–3

7 May 20221899 Hoffenheim — Bayer Leverkusen · Bundesliga2–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

TSG Hoffenheim favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 0 · 13 too close

1.67 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 3/33 goals/match

3 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 3/32 goals/match

1.8 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 3/32.83 xG/match

2.61 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 3/31.21 xG/match

15.7 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/323.7 shots/match

18.3 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/312.3 shots/match

5.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/39.33 shots/match

7 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/35.33 shots/match

48.3%Possessionseason · 3/3●60.3%

5.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/3●11.3 corners/match

6.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/32.67 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

9 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/38 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

0%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 3/30%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 3/3100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

TSG Hoffenheim53.6

Bayer 04 Leverkusen75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

TSG Hoffenheim58.3

Bayer 04 Leverkusen94

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

TSG Hoffenheim11.9

Bayer 04 Leverkusen51.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

TSG Hoffenheim75

Bayer 04 Leverkusen89.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

TSG Hoffenheim25

Bayer 04 Leverkusen7.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

TSG Hoffenheim57.1

Bayer 04 Leverkusen96.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

TSG Hoffenheim52.7

Bayer 04 Leverkusen74.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

TSG Hoffenheim3 matchesBayer 04 Leverkusen3 matches

1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲3 goals/match

3 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲2 goals/match

1.8 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲2.83 xG/match

15.7 shots/matchShots3/3▲23.7 shots/match

5.33 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲9.33 shots/match

48.3%Possession3/3●60.3%

5.33 corners/matchCorners3/3●11.3 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

9 fouls/matchFouls3/38 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

TSG Hoffenheim2 matchesBayer 04 Leverkusen2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.9 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples3 / 3home / away teams

Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Sept 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4