PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

TSG Hoffenheim 1–4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga

1–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 1–4.

Shots
1520
Shots on target
58
Expected goals
0.923.56
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bayer 04 Leverkusen beat TSG Hoffenheim 4–1. Recorded in this match (TSG Hoffenheim – Bayer 04 Leverkusen): shots 15–20, shots on target 5–8, expected goals 0.92–3.56, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.7 shots/match ▲ShotsTSG Hoffenheim · Bayer 04 Leverkusen23.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTSG HoffenheimBayer 04 LeverkusenBaseline
Shots15.7 shots/match23.7 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against18.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.3%PossessionTSG Hoffenheim · Bayer 04 Leverkusen● 60.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricTSG HoffenheimBayer 04 LeverkusenBaseline
Possession48.3%60.3%46.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots20 shotsTSG Hoffenheim 15 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 20 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots8 shotsTSG Hoffenheim 5 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.92 xG3.56 xGTSG Hoffenheim 0.92 xG, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3.56 xG
  • Possession40%60%TSG Hoffenheim 40%, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 60%
  • Corners4 corners12 cornersTSG Hoffenheim 4 corners, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 12 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls10 foulsTSG Hoffenheim 9 fouls, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Anton Stach · TSG Hoffenheim · 14′ · 0.01 xG · on targetVictor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 29′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDennis Geiger · TSG Hoffenheim · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Grillitsch · TSG Hoffenheim · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPavel Kadeřábek · TSG Hoffenheim · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRobert Andrich · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 58′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRobert Andrich · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMartin Terrier · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnton Stach · TSG Hoffenheim · 38′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMartin Terrier · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 3′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarius Bülter · TSG Hoffenheim · 13′ · 0.05 xG · on targetEdmond Tapsoba · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 8′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarius Bülter · TSG Hoffenheim · 83′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 85′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 62′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTom Bischof · TSG Hoffenheim · 78′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJacob Bruun Larsen · TSG Hoffenheim · 82′ · 0.07 xG · on targetEdmond Tapsoba · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedVictor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 58′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 83′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMergim Berisha · TSG Hoffenheim · 15′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedVictor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 28′ · 0.10 xG · on targetVictor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 75′ · 0.15 xG · goalMergim Berisha · TSG Hoffenheim · 37′ · 0.23 xG · goalVictor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 45′ · 0.34 xG · on targetVictor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 30′ · 0.42 xG · goalMartin Terrier · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 17′ · 0.53 xG · goalVictor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 67′ · 0.62 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 72′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

TSG Hoffenheim: 15 shots, 5 on target, 0.91 xG. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 20 shots, 8 on target, 3.55 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Mergim Berisha · TSG Hoffenheim · 37′Martin Terrier · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 17′Victor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 30′Florian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 72′Victor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 75′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: TSG Hoffenheim 0.91 xG · Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3.55 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1TSG Hoffenheim
0Draws
4Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga2–1
TSG Hoffenheim — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga2–3
TSG Hoffenheim — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga1–3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga0–3
TSG Hoffenheim — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga2–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: TSG Hoffenheim favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

TSG Hoffenheim3 matchesBayer 04 Leverkusen3 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 3 goals/match
3 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 2 goals/match
1.8 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 2.83 xG/match
15.7 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 23.7 shots/match
5.33 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 9.33 shots/match
48.3%Possession3/3● 60.3%
5.33 corners/matchCorners3/3● 11.3 corners/match
9 fouls/matchFouls3/38 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Sept 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTSG HoffenheimBayer 04 Leverkusen
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headTSG Hoffenheim — Bayer 04 Leverkusen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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