PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

VfB Stuttgart 2–3 Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga

2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Eintracht Frankfurt won 2–3.

Shots
228
Shots on target
115
Expected goals
2.571.33
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Eintracht Frankfurt beat VfB Stuttgart 3–2. Recorded in this match (VfB Stuttgart – Eintracht Frankfurt): shots 22–8, shots on target 11–5, expected goals 2.57–1.33, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

VfB Stuttgart's recent record differs from the season

moderate

VfB Stuttgart's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.9 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.9 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

VfB Stuttgart have a visible home split

moderate

VfB Stuttgart's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

20.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots20.6 shots/match15 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

VfB Stuttgart show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

VfB Stuttgart's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsVfB Stuttgart · Eintracht Frankfurt13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVfB StuttgartEintracht FrankfurtBaseline
Shots15 shots/match13.5 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against11.9 shots/match18.1 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots8 shotsVfB Stuttgart 22 shots, Eintracht Frankfurt 8 shots
  • Shots on target11 shots5 shotsVfB Stuttgart 11 shots, Eintracht Frankfurt 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.57 xG1.33 xGVfB Stuttgart 2.57 xG, Eintracht Frankfurt 1.33 xG
  • Possession60%40%VfB Stuttgart 60%, Eintracht Frankfurt 40%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersVfB Stuttgart 8 corners, Eintracht Frankfurt 3 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls15 foulsVfB Stuttgart 10 fouls, Eintracht Frankfurt 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Enzo Millot · VfB Stuttgart · 66′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJosha Vagnoman · VfB Stuttgart · 86′ · 0.01 xG · goalErmedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 27′ · 0.02 xG · on targetChris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 36′ · 0.02 xG · on targetChris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOmar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 62′ · 0.03 xG · goalOmar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetOmar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 44′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEl Bilal Touré · VfB Stuttgart · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 70′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRamon Hendriks · VfB Stuttgart · 86′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJustin Diehl · VfB Stuttgart · 89′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedChris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 10′ · 0.07 xG · on targetEric Ebimbe · Eintracht Frankfurt · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 50′ · 0.08 xG · on targetEnzo Millot · VfB Stuttgart · 65′ · 0.08 xG · on targetEl Bilal Touré · VfB Stuttgart · 72′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedNick Woltemade · VfB Stuttgart · 86′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFabian Rieder · VfB Stuttgart · 52′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Rouault · VfB Stuttgart · 74′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 18′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Millot · VfB Stuttgart · 38′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedNathaniel Brown · Eintracht Frankfurt · 67′ · 0.15 xG · on targetJeff Chabot · VfB Stuttgart · 73′ · 0.16 xG · on targetHugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 45′ · 0.17 xG · goalOmar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 4′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedNick Woltemade · VfB Stuttgart · 90′ · 0.19 xG · goalErmedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 69′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedNathaniel Brown · Eintracht Frankfurt · 55′ · 0.67 xG · goalErmedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 22′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

VfB Stuttgart: 22 shots, 11 on target, 2.59 xG. Eintracht Frankfurt: 8 shots, 5 on target, 1.35 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Josha Vagnoman · VfB Stuttgart · 86′Nick Woltemade · VfB Stuttgart · 90′Hugo Ekitiké · Eintracht Frankfurt · 45′Nathaniel Brown · Eintracht Frankfurt · 55′Omar Marmoush · Eintracht Frankfurt · 62′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfB Stuttgart 2.59 xG · Eintracht Frankfurt 1.35 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2VfB Stuttgart
1Draws
2Eintracht Frankfurt
VfB Stuttgart — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga3–0
Eintracht Frankfurt — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga1–2
Eintracht Frankfurt — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga1–1
VfB Stuttgart — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga1–3
VfB Stuttgart — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfB Stuttgart favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Eintracht Frankfurt in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfB Stuttgart10 matchesEintracht Frankfurt10 matches
1.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 2.6 goals/match
1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 1.6 goals/match
1.87 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲ 2.11 xG/match
15 shots/match ▲Shots10/1013.5 shots/match
5.9 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/105.4 shots/match
57.8% ●Possession10/1043.8%
5.7 corners/match ●Corners10/104.5 corners/match
9.8 fouls/matchFouls10/109.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 Nov 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfB StuttgartEintracht Frankfurt
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headVfB Stuttgart — Eintracht Frankfurt
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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