PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

SC Freiburg 3–1 Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SC Freiburg won 3–1.

Shots
1715
Shots on target
74
Expected goals
1.641.56
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

SC Freiburg beat Borussia M'gladbach 3–1. Recorded in this match (SC Freiburg – Borussia M'gladbach): shots 17–15, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 1.64–1.56, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SC Freiburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SC Freiburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.33 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

SC Freiburg show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

SC Freiburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsSC Freiburg · Borussia M'gladbach14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSC FreiburgBorussia M'gladbachBaseline
Shots14 shots/match14.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against11.6 shots/match16.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots15 shotsSC Freiburg 17 shots, Borussia M'gladbach 15 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsSC Freiburg 7 shots, Borussia M'gladbach 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.64 xG1.56 xGSC Freiburg 1.64 xG, Borussia M'gladbach 1.56 xG
  • Possession48%52%SC Freiburg 48%, Borussia M'gladbach 52%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersSC Freiburg 4 corners, Borussia M'gladbach 6 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls14 foulsSC Freiburg 5 fouls, Borussia M'gladbach 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lukas Kübler · SC Freiburg · 52′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 87′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedVincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMax Rosenfelder · SC Freiburg · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMichael Gregoritsch · SC Freiburg · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Eggestein · SC Freiburg · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRobin Hack · Borussia M'gladbach · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedStefan Lainer · Borussia M'gladbach · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChristian Günter · SC Freiburg · 21′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMichael Gregoritsch · SC Freiburg · 26′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Friedrich · Borussia M'gladbach · 81′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPhilipp Sander · Borussia M'gladbach · 87′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMaximilian Philipp · SC Freiburg · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Eggestein · SC Freiburg · 2′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 50′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLucas Höler · SC Freiburg · 12′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLucas Höler · SC Freiburg · 49′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRitsu Doan · SC Freiburg · 49′ · 0.07 xG · goalJulian Weigl · Borussia M'gladbach · 77′ · 0.07 xG · on targetNathan N'Goumou · Borussia M'gladbach · 80′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMichael Gregoritsch · SC Freiburg · 20′ · 0.08 xG · on targetNathan N'Goumou · Borussia M'gladbach · 72′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Čvančara · Borussia M'gladbach · 82′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 8′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedFranck Honorat · Borussia M'gladbach · 76′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedMichael Gregoritsch · SC Freiburg · 58′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedLucas Höler · SC Freiburg · 41′ · 0.24 xG · goalLucas Höler · SC Freiburg · 62′ · 0.28 xG · goalAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 34′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedTim Kleindienst · Borussia M'gladbach · 61′ · 0.36 xG · goalMichael Gregoritsch · SC Freiburg · 41′ · 0.42 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SC Freiburg: 17 shots, 7 on target, 1.72 xG. Borussia M'gladbach: 15 shots, 4 on target, 1.59 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Lucas Höler · SC Freiburg · 41′Ritsu Doan · SC Freiburg · 49′Lucas Höler · SC Freiburg · 62′Tim Kleindienst · Borussia M'gladbach · 61′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Freiburg 1.72 xG · Borussia M'gladbach 1.59 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1SC Freiburg
4Draws
0Borussia M'gladbach
Borussia M'gladbach — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga0–3
SC Freiburg — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga3–3
Borussia M'gladbach — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga0–0
SC Freiburg — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga0–0
SC Freiburg — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga3–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SC Freiburg favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Borussia M'gladbach in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SC Freiburg12 matchesBorussia M'gladbach12 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/121.42 goals/match
1.51 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲ 1.73 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 14.8 shots/match
4.58 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲ 5.67 shots/match
50.6%Possession12/12● 53.3%
4.5 corners/matchCorners12/12● 4.67 corners/match
7.58 fouls/matchFouls12/1212 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Nov 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSC FreiburgBorussia M'gladbach
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headSC Freiburg — Borussia M'gladbach
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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