PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

Borussia Dortmund 2–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga

2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 2–3.

Shots
127
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
1.351.5
Possession
70%30%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bayer 04 Leverkusen beat Borussia Dortmund 3–2. Recorded in this match (Borussia Dortmund – Bayer 04 Leverkusen): shots 12–7, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 1.35–1.5, possession 70%–30%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's last-five shots average is below their season average.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season16.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots11 shots/match16.4 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have a visible away split

moderate

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season16.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match16.4 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Borussia Dortmund show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Borussia Dortmund's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.8 shots/match ▲ShotsBorussia Dortmund · Bayer 04 Leverkusen16.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBorussia DortmundBayer 04 LeverkusenBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match16.4 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against10.6 shots/match10.4 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots7 shotsBorussia Dortmund 12 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 7 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsBorussia Dortmund 5 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.35 xG1.5 xGBorussia Dortmund 1.35 xG, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.5 xG
  • Possession70%30%Borussia Dortmund 70%, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 30%
  • Corners6 corners1 cornerBorussia Dortmund 6 corners, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1 corner
  • Fouls8 fouls6 foulsBorussia Dortmund 8 fouls, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 6 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 63′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFelix Nmecha · Borussia Dortmund · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 42′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNathan Tella · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 1′ · 0.04 xG · goalJeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 44′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMaximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 54′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 12′ · 0.07 xG · goalSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 28′ · 0.07 xG · on targetSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 44′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 45′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 8′ · 0.39 xG · goalPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 19′ · 0.56 xG · goalPatrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 61′ · 0.60 xG · on targetSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 79′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Borussia Dortmund: 12 shots, 5 on target, 1.39 xG. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 7 shots, 5 on target, 1.66 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Jamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 12′Serhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 79′Nathan Tella · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 1′Patrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 8′Patrik Schick · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 19′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia Dortmund 1.39 xG · Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.66 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Borussia Dortmund
2Draws
1Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Borussia Dortmund — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga1–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga1–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga0–2
Borussia Dortmund — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga1–0
Borussia Dortmund — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga2–5

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia Dortmund favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia Dortmund16 matchesBayer 04 Leverkusen16 matches
1.88 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲ 2.5 goals/match
1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲ 1.44 goals/match
1.55 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲ 1.91 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots16/16▲ 16.4 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲ 6.31 shots/match
59.1%Possession16/16● 60.4%
5.06 corners/matchCorners16/16● 6.88 corners/match
10.1 fouls/matchFouls16/168.63 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 10 Jan 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia DortmundBayer 04 Leverkusen
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headBorussia Dortmund — Bayer 04 Leverkusen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required