PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

VfB Stuttgart 4–0 SC Freiburg · Bundesliga

4–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfB Stuttgart won 4–0.

Shots
105
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
1.850.68
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfB Stuttgart beat SC Freiburg 4–0. Recorded in this match (VfB Stuttgart – SC Freiburg): shots 10–5, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 1.85–0.68, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for VfB Stuttgart, SC Freiburg.

2.79 days ▲Rest daysVfB Stuttgart · SC Freiburg3.79 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricVfB StuttgartSC FreiburgBaseline
Rest days2.79 days3.79 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

VfB Stuttgart have a visible home split

moderate

VfB Stuttgart's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.4 shots/match14.6 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

SC Freiburg's recent record differs from the season

weak

SC Freiburg's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots5 shotsVfB Stuttgart 10 shots, SC Freiburg 5 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotVfB Stuttgart 6 shots, SC Freiburg 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.85 xG0.68 xGVfB Stuttgart 1.85 xG, SC Freiburg 0.68 xG
  • Possession53%47%VfB Stuttgart 53%, SC Freiburg 47%
  • Corners4 corners1 cornerVfB Stuttgart 4 corners, SC Freiburg 1 corner
  • Fouls6 fouls12 foulsVfB Stuttgart 6 fouls, SC Freiburg 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Merlin Röhl · SC Freiburg · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Millot · VfB Stuttgart · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRitsu Doan · SC Freiburg · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 28′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAmeen Al-Dakhil · VfB Stuttgart · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRitsu Doan · SC Freiburg · 41′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJunior Adamu · SC Freiburg · 6′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 44′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 79′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNick Woltemade · VfB Stuttgart · 2′ · 0.11 xG · on targetErmedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 45′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 80′ · 0.12 xG · goalAnthony Rouault · VfB Stuttgart · 2′ · 0.15 xG · goalAtakan Karazor · VfB Stuttgart · 45′ · 0.16 xG · on targetErmedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 17′ · 0.21 xG · goalNick Woltemade · VfB Stuttgart · 45′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

VfB Stuttgart: 12 shots, 7 on target, 2.02 xG. SC Freiburg: 4 shots, 0 on target, 0.22 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Anthony Rouault · VfB Stuttgart · 2′Ermedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 17′Nick Woltemade · VfB Stuttgart · 45′Deniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 80′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfB Stuttgart 2.02 xG · SC Freiburg 0.22 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2VfB Stuttgart
0Draws
3SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga3–1
SC Freiburg — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga1–3
VfB Stuttgart — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga5–0
SC Freiburg — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga2–1
VfB Stuttgart — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfB Stuttgart favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · SC Freiburg in 0 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfB Stuttgart18 matchesSC Freiburg18 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/181.39 goals/match
1.44 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/181.89 goals/match
1.97 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/181.33 xG/match
14.6 shots/match ▲Shots18/1812.8 shots/match
5.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/184.5 shots/match
59.1% ●Possession18/1848.7%
5.56 corners/match ●Corners18/183.94 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls18/188.22 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Jan 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfB StuttgartSC Freiburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headVfB Stuttgart — SC Freiburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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