PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

RB Leipzig 2–2 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RB Leipzig and 1. FC Heidenheim drew 2–2.

Shots
174
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
2.060.88
Possession
74%26%

Full time

What the match recorded

RB Leipzig and 1. FC Heidenheim drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (RB Leipzig – 1. FC Heidenheim): shots 17–4, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 2.06–0.88, possession 74%–26%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Heidenheim's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Heidenheim's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.52 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

RB Leipzig have a visible home split

moderate

RB Leipzig's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

RB Leipzig have recorded the higher season possession share.

53% ●PossessionRB Leipzig · 1. FC Heidenheim43%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRB Leipzig1. FC HeidenheimBaseline
Possession53%43%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots4 shotsRB Leipzig 17 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 4 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsRB Leipzig 6 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.06 xG0.88 xGRB Leipzig 2.06 xG, 1. FC Heidenheim 0.88 xG
  • Possession74%26%RB Leipzig 74%, 1. FC Heidenheim 26%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersRB Leipzig 7 corners, 1. FC Heidenheim 4 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls15 foulsRB Leipzig 15 fouls, 1. FC Heidenheim 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mathias Honsak · 1. FC Heidenheim · 6′ · 0.02 xG · goalXavi Simons · RB Leipzig · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMathias Honsak · 1. FC Heidenheim · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Šeško · RB Leipzig · 40′ · 0.02 xG · on targetXavi Simons · RB Leipzig · 46′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarnon Busch · 1. FC Heidenheim · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 24′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Šeško · RB Leipzig · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChristoph Baumgartner · RB Leipzig · 18′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Šeško · RB Leipzig · 73′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 33′ · 0.06 xG · on targetBenjamin Šeško · RB Leipzig · 41′ · 0.08 xG · on targetXavi Simons · RB Leipzig · 88′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRidle Baku · RB Leipzig · 49′ · 0.09 xG · on targetLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKevin Kampl · RB Leipzig · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 45′ · 0.14 xG · goalRidle Baku · RB Leipzig · 42′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 13′ · 0.82 xG · goalBenjamin Šeško · RB Leipzig · 64′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RB Leipzig: 17 shots, 6 on target, 1.97 xG. 1. FC Heidenheim: 4 shots, 2 on target, 0.88 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Loïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 45′Benjamin Šeško · RB Leipzig · 64′Mathias Honsak · 1. FC Heidenheim · 6′Marvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 13′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RB Leipzig 1.97 xG · 1. FC Heidenheim 0.88 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3RB Leipzig
0Draws
01. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga0–1
1. FC Heidenheim — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga1–2
RB Leipzig — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RB Leipzig favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Heidenheim in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RB Leipzig23 matches1. FC Heidenheim23 matches
1.65 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/231.17 goals/match
1.35 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/232.04 goals/match
1.34 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/231.21 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots23/2311.2 shots/match
4.57 shots/match ▲Shots on target23/233.91 shots/match
53% ●Possession23/2343%
4.35 corners/match ●Corners23/233.96 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls23/2311.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Feb 2025, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRB Leipzig1. FC Heidenheim
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headRB Leipzig — 1. FC Heidenheim
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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