PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

Borussia M'gladbach 1–2 SC Freiburg · Bundesliga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SC Freiburg won 1–2.

Shots
1019
Shots on target
17
Expected goals
0.711.72
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

SC Freiburg beat Borussia M'gladbach 2–1. Recorded in this match (Borussia M'gladbach – SC Freiburg): shots 10–19, shots on target 1–7, expected goals 0.71–1.72, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SC Freiburg's recent record differs from the season

weak

SC Freiburg's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots19 shotsBorussia M'gladbach 10 shots, SC Freiburg 19 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot7 shotsBorussia M'gladbach 1 shot, SC Freiburg 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.71 xG1.72 xGBorussia M'gladbach 0.71 xG, SC Freiburg 1.72 xG
  • Possession42%58%Borussia M'gladbach 42%, SC Freiburg 58%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersBorussia M'gladbach 4 corners, SC Freiburg 6 corners
  • Fouls4 fouls11 foulsBorussia M'gladbach 4 fouls, SC Freiburg 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Borussia M'gladbach
3Draws
2SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga3–1
Borussia M'gladbach — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga0–3
SC Freiburg — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga3–3
Borussia M'gladbach — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga0–0
SC Freiburg — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia M'gladbach favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · SC Freiburg in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia M'gladbach29 matchesSC Freiburg29 matches
1.59 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/291.38 goals/match
1.48 goals/matchGoals allowed29/291.55 goals/match
1.5 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/291.35 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots29/2912.4 shots/match
4.72 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/294.41 shots/match
49.9% ●Possession29/2949.3%
4.41 corners/match ●Corners29/293.97 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls29/298.86 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 12 Apr 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia M'gladbachSC Freiburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headBorussia M'gladbach — SC Freiburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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