PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

FC St. Pauli 0–2 VfL Bochum 1848 · Bundesliga

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfL Bochum 1848 won 0–2.

Shots
109
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
0.791.32
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfL Bochum 1848 beat FC St. Pauli 2–0. Recorded in this match (FC St. Pauli – VfL Bochum 1848): shots 10–9, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 0.79–1.32, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC St. Pauli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC St. Pauli's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.82 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.82 goals/match1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots9 shotsFC St. Pauli 10 shots, VfL Bochum 1848 9 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsFC St. Pauli 2 shots, VfL Bochum 1848 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.79 xG1.32 xGFC St. Pauli 0.79 xG, VfL Bochum 1848 1.32 xG
  • Possession58%42%FC St. Pauli 58%, VfL Bochum 1848 42%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersFC St. Pauli 7 corners, VfL Bochum 1848 4 corners
  • Fouls3 fouls11 foulsFC St. Pauli 3 fouls, VfL Bochum 1848 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Oladapo Afolayan · FC St. Pauli · 29′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAdam Dźwigała · FC St. Pauli · 86′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMoritz Broschinski · VfL Bochum 1848 · 89′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFelix Passlack · VfL Bochum 1848 · 8′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMaximilian Wittek · VfL Bochum 1848 · 14′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDanel Sinani · FC St. Pauli · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Losilla · VfL Bochum 1848 · 80′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMats Pannewig · VfL Bochum 1848 · 17′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFelix Passlack · VfL Bochum 1848 · 25′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDanel Sinani · FC St. Pauli · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOladapo Afolayan · FC St. Pauli · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDavid Nemeth · FC St. Pauli · 39′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMatúš Bero · VfL Bochum 1848 · 88′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedHauke Wahl · FC St. Pauli · 5′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Guilavogui · FC St. Pauli · 8′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedOladapo Afolayan · FC St. Pauli · 22′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMyron Boadu · VfL Bochum 1848 · 10′ · 0.18 xG · goalMorgan Guilavogui · FC St. Pauli · 20′ · 0.19 xG · on targetMyron Boadu · VfL Bochum 1848 · 66′ · 0.91 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC St. Pauli: 10 shots, 2 on target, 0.79 xG. VfL Bochum 1848: 9 shots, 6 on target, 1.37 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Myron Boadu · VfL Bochum 1848 · 10′Myron Boadu · VfL Bochum 1848 · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC St. Pauli 0.79 xG · VfL Bochum 1848 1.37 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC St. Pauli favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · VfL Bochum 1848 in 5

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC St. Pauli34 matchesVfL Bochum 184834 matches
0.82 goals/matchGoals scored34/34▲ 0.97 goals/match
1.21 goals/match ▲Goals allowed34/341.97 goals/match
1.02 xG/matchExpected goals34/33▲ 1.23 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots34/33▲ 12.8 shots/match
3.29 shots/matchShots on target34/33▲ 4.12 shots/match
43.9%Possession34/33● 45.2%
4.35 corners/matchCorners34/33● 4.79 corners/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls34/3313.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 May 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC St. PauliVfL Bochum 1848
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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