Serie A · 2023Sun, 5 Nov 2023, 11:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Hellas Verona

LDLLL

1–3Full-time recap

Monza

DWWLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Hellas Verona	Monza
Shots	16 shots/match▲	12 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match	6 shots/match▲
Expected goals	1.01 xG/match▲	0.86 xG/match
Possession	46%	54%●
Corners	2 corners/match	6 corners/match●
Fouls	6 fouls/match	12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Hellas Verona: 16 shots, 5 on target, 1.02 xG. Monza: 12 shots, 6 on target, 0.86 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Hellas Verona 1.02 xG · Monza 0.86 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Monza's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Monza's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Monza's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Monza's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.09 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.6 goals/match	1.09 goals/match	1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Monza show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Monza's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.5 shots/match▲ShotsHellas Verona · Monza13.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Hellas Verona	Monza	Baseline
Shots	10.5 shots/match	13.9 shots/match	12 shots/match
Shots against	14.5 shots/match	13.8 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Monza have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.8%PossessionHellas Verona · Monza●54.8%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.0 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Hellas Verona	Monza	Baseline
Possession	44.8%	54.8%	50.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Hellas Verona

1Draws

1Monza

12 Mar 2023Hellas Verona — Monza · Serie A1–1

6 Nov 2022Monza — Hellas Verona · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Hellas Verona favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Monza in 11 · 2 too close

0.64 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 11/11▲1.09 goals/match

1.36 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 11/11▲0.91 goals/match

0.65 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 11/11▲1.24 xG/match

1.42 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 11/11▲1.21 xG/match

10.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 11/11▲13.9 shots/match

14.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 11/11▲13.8 shots/match

3.27 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 11/11▲4.27 shots/match

4.91 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 11/11▲4.55 shots/match

44.8%Possessionseason · 11/11●54.8%

2.64 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/11●5.82 corners/match

5.64 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/11▲4.91 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

12.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1111.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

27%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/11▲36%

55%Scoring frequencyseason · 11/11▲64%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Hellas Verona27.5

Monza77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Hellas Verona17.5

Monza58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Hellas Verona24.2

Monza43.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Hellas Verona42.5

Monza62.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Hellas Verona67.5

Monza37.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Hellas Verona7.5

Monza85

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Hellas Verona28.1

Monza63.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Hellas Verona11 matchesMonza11 matches

0.64 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲1.09 goals/match

1.36 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲0.91 goals/match

0.65 xG/matchExpected goals11/11▲1.24 xG/match

10.5 shots/matchShots11/11▲13.9 shots/match

3.27 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲4.27 shots/match

44.8%Possession11/11●54.8%

2.64 corners/matchCorners11/11●5.82 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.4 fouls/matchFouls11/1111.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Hellas Verona5 matchesMonza6 matches

0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/60.83 goals/match

1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/6▲1.33 goals/match

0.79 xG/matchExpected goals5/6▲0.87 xG/match

11.2 shots/matchShots5/6▲12 shots/match

4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/63.67 shots/match

40.8%Possession5/6●53.7%

3 corners/matchCorners5/6●4 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/610.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.9 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples11 / 11home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Nov 2023, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4