PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Genoa 1–0 Hellas Verona · Serie A

Genoa

DLLWL
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Genoa won 1–0.

Shots
167
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
1.710.24
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Genoa beat Hellas Verona 1–0. Recorded in this match (Genoa – Hellas Verona): shots 16–7, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 1.71–0.24, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Genoa's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Genoa's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.08 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots7 shotsGenoa 16 shots, Hellas Verona 7 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotGenoa 6 shots, Hellas Verona 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.71 xG0.24 xGGenoa 1.71 xG, Hellas Verona 0.24 xG
  • Possession49%51%Genoa 49%, Hellas Verona 51%
  • Corners6 corners7 cornersGenoa 6 corners, Hellas Verona 7 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls16 foulsGenoa 9 fouls, Hellas Verona 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Michael Folorunsho · Hellas Verona · 37′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIsak Hien · Hellas Verona · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCaleb Ekuban · Genoa · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Suslov · Hellas Verona · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRidgeciano Haps · Genoa · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJohan Vásquez · Genoa · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCyril Ngonge · Hellas Verona · 82′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Pușcaș · Genoa · 88′ · 0.04 xG · on targetBruno Amione · Hellas Verona · 30′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCaleb Ekuban · Genoa · 43′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedStefano Sabelli · Genoa · 62′ · 0.05 xG · on targetFilippo Terracciano · Hellas Verona · 73′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMilan Đurić · Hellas Verona · 78′ · 0.05 xG · on targetCaleb Ekuban · Genoa · 17′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Guðmundsson · Genoa · 4′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMilan Badelj · Genoa · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKevin Strootman · Genoa · 85′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMorten Frendrup · Genoa · 36′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Pușcaș · Genoa · 57′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedRadu Drăguşin · Genoa · 44′ · 0.16 xG · goalMilan Badelj · Genoa · 62′ · 0.16 xG · on targetKoni De Winter · Genoa · 43′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Pușcaș · Genoa · 58′ · 0.53 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Genoa: 16 shots, 5 on target, 1.71 xG. Hellas Verona: 7 shots, 1 on target, 0.23 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Radu Drăguşin · Genoa · 44′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Genoa 1.71 xG · Hellas Verona 0.23 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Genoa
1Draws
1Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona — Genoa · Serie A1–0
Genoa — Hellas Verona · Serie A3–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Genoa favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Hellas Verona in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Genoa12 matchesHellas Verona12 matches
1.08 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/120.58 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed12/121.33 goals/match
0.76 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/120.61 xG/match
8.5 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 10.2 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target12/123.08 shots/match
41%Possession12/12● 45.3%
2.67 corners/matchCorners12/12● 3 corners/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls12/1212.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 10 Nov 2023, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGenoaHellas Verona
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headGenoa — Hellas Verona
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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