PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Cagliari 2–1 Genoa · Serie A

2–1Historical match

Genoa

WDLLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cagliari won 2–1.

Shots
128
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
0.851.05
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cagliari beat Genoa 2–1. Recorded in this match (Cagliari – Genoa): shots 12–8, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 0.85–1.05, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cagliari's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cagliari's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1 goal/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cagliari have a visible home split

moderate

Cagliari's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Genoa show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Genoa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.2 shots/match ▲ShotsCagliari · Genoa7.82 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCagliariGenoaBaseline
Shots12.2 shots/match7.82 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against12.5 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots8 shotsCagliari 12 shots, Genoa 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsCagliari 4 shots, Genoa 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.85 xG1.05 xGCagliari 0.85 xG, Genoa 1.05 xG
  • Possession40%60%Cagliari 40%, Genoa 60%
  • Corners1 corner1 cornerCagliari 1 corner, Genoa 1 corner
  • Fouls14 fouls11 foulsCagliari 14 fouls, Genoa 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Matteo Prati · Cagliari · 22′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMilan Badelj · Genoa · 24′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMarco Mancosu · Cagliari · 30′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPantelis Hatzidiakos · Cagliari · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Makoumbou · Cagliari · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTommaso Augello · Cagliari · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Viola · Cagliari · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMorten Frendrup · Genoa · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPaulo Azzi · Cagliari · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJohan Vásquez · Genoa · 36′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Viola · Cagliari · 48′ · 0.07 xG · goalGabriele Zappa · Cagliari · 69′ · 0.08 xG · goalAlbert Guðmundsson · Genoa · 25′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRadu Drăguşin · Genoa · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedZito Luvumbo · Cagliari · 6′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMorten Frendrup · Genoa · 24′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedZito Luvumbo · Cagliari · 56′ · 0.14 xG · on targetAlbert Guðmundsson · Genoa · 51′ · 0.20 xG · goalGabriele Zappa · Cagliari · 56′ · 0.29 xG · on targetGeorge Pușcaș · Genoa · 90′ · 0.42 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Cagliari: 12 shots, 4 on target, 0.84 xG. Genoa: 8 shots, 2 on target, 1.04 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Nicolas Viola · Cagliari · 48′Gabriele Zappa · Cagliari · 69′Albert Guðmundsson · Genoa · 51′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cagliari 0.84 xG · Genoa 1.04 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Cagliari
2Draws
2Genoa
Cagliari — Genoa · Serie B0–0
Genoa — Cagliari · Serie B0–0
Genoa — Cagliari · Serie A1–0
Cagliari — Genoa · Serie A2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cagliari favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Genoa in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cagliari11 matchesGenoa11 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored11/11▲ 1.09 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲ 1.45 goals/match
1.22 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/110.68 xG/match
12.2 shots/match ▲Shots11/117.82 shots/match
3.09 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/112.73 shots/match
41.9% ●Possession11/1140.3%
3.64 corners/match ●Corners11/112.36 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls11/1111 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Nov 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCagliariGenoa
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headCagliari — Genoa
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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