PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Monza 1–1 Torino · Serie A

Monza

WWLDW
1–1Historical match

Torino

DLLWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Monza and Torino drew 1–1.

Shots
1212
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
0.960.95
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Monza and Torino drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Monza – Torino): shots 12–12, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 0.96–0.95, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Monza's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Monza's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.08 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots12 shotsMonza 12 shots, Torino 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsMonza 5 shots, Torino 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.96 xG0.95 xGMonza 0.96 xG, Torino 0.95 xG
  • Possession44%56%Monza 44%, Torino 56%
  • Corners3 corners1 cornerMonza 3 corners, Torino 1 corner
  • Fouls11 fouls11 foulsMonza 11 fouls, Torino 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Duván Zapata · Torino · 7′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLorenzo Colombo · Monza · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIvan Ilić · Torino · 40′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDanilo D'Ambrosio · Monza · 41′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGeorgios Kyriakopoulos · Monza · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Colpani · Monza · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDuván Zapata · Torino · 40′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIvan Ilić · Torino · 80′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLorenzo Colombo · Monza · 29′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDuván Zapata · Torino · 49′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedValentín Carboni · Monza · 84′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDuván Zapata · Torino · 85′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Colpani · Monza · 56′ · 0.06 xG · on targetIvan Ilić · Torino · 55′ · 0.07 xG · goalNikola Vlašić · Torino · 12′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Sanabria · Torino · 15′ · 0.08 xG · on targetDuván Zapata · Torino · 32′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedWarren Bondo · Monza · 57′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Sanabria · Torino · 80′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedValentín Carboni · Monza · 90′ · 0.11 xG · on targetLorenzo Colombo · Monza · 19′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Gagliardini · Monza · 43′ · 0.16 xG · on targetAndrea Colpani · Monza · 65′ · 0.20 xG · goalDuván Zapata · Torino · 37′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Monza: 12 shots, 5 on target, 0.95 xG. Torino: 12 shots, 5 on target, 0.95 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Andrea Colpani · Monza · 65′Ivan Ilić · Torino · 55′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Monza 0.95 xG · Torino 0.95 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Monza
1Draws
1Torino
Torino — Monza · Serie A1–1
Monza — Torino · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Monza favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Torino in 5

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Monza12 matchesTorino12 matches
1.08 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/120.83 goals/match
0.92 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/121.17 goals/match
1.21 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/120.97 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots12/1210.6 shots/match
4.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/123.08 shots/match
53.9% ●Possession12/1250.8%
5.58 corners/match ●Corners12/124.08 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls12/1211.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Nov 2023, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMonzaTorino
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headMonza — Torino
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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