PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Inter 2–0 Lecce · Serie A

Inter

WDWWW
2–0Historical match

Lecce

DDDDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Inter won 2–0.

Shots
2011
Shots on target
85
Expected goals
2.921.29
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter beat Lecce 2–0. Recorded in this match (Inter – Lecce): shots 20–11, shots on target 8–5, expected goals 2.92–1.29, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lecce have a visible away split

moderate

Lecce's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.75 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.75 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16 shots/match ▲ShotsInter · Lecce12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricInterLecceBaseline
Shots16 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against9.94 shots/match13.8 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Inter's recent record differs from the season

weak

Inter's last-five shots average is below their season average.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season16 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match16 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots11 shotsInter 20 shots, Lecce 11 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots5 shotsInter 8 shots, Lecce 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.92 xG1.29 xGInter 2.92 xG, Lecce 1.29 xG
  • Possession68%32%Inter 68%, Lecce 32%
  • Corners16 corners2 cornersInter 16 corners, Lecce 2 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls14 foulsInter 8 fouls, Lecce 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Antonino Gallo · Lecce · 27′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Kaba · Lecce · 72′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLameck Banda · Lecce · 58′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKristjan Asllani · Inter · 87′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNikola Krstović · Lecce · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoan González · Lecce · 9′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLameck Banda · Lecce · 10′ · 0.03 xG · on targetHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYann Bisseck · Inter · 60′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGabriel Strefezza · Lecce · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Darmian · Inter · 67′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMarko Arnautović · Inter · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedYann Bisseck · Inter · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Augusto · Inter · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Barella · Inter · 17′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedYann Bisseck · Inter · 40′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedValentin Gendrey · Lecce · 49′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedYann Bisseck · Inter · 43′ · 0.07 xG · goalHenrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 59′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 53′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedHamza Rafia · Lecce · 70′ · 0.10 xG · on targetHenrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 54′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMarko Arnautović · Inter · 11′ · 0.13 xG · on targetHenrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 87′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Pavard · Inter · 87′ · 0.15 xG · on targetFrancesco Acerbi · Inter · 89′ · 0.16 xG · on targetLameck Banda · Lecce · 26′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedMarko Arnautović · Inter · 22′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 18′ · 0.60 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Barella · Inter · 78′ · 0.64 xG · goalGabriel Strefezza · Lecce · 45′ · 0.75 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Inter: 20 shots, 8 on target, 2.92 xG. Lecce: 11 shots, 5 on target, 1.29 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Yann Bisseck · Inter · 43′Nicolò Barella · Inter · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Inter 2.92 xG · Lecce 1.29 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Inter
0Draws
0Lecce
Inter — Lecce · Serie A2–0
Lecce — Inter · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Inter favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Lecce in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Inter17 matchesLecce17 matches
2.41 goals/match ▲Goals scored17/171.12 goals/match
0.41 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/171.35 goals/match
2.15 xG/match ▲Expected goals17/170.97 xG/match
16 shots/match ▲Shots17/1712.8 shots/match
5.24 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/174.12 shots/match
56.4% ●Possession17/1744.9%
5.88 corners/match ●Corners17/173.59 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls17/1713.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Dec 2023, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsInterLecce
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headInter — Lecce
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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