Serie A · 2023

Hellas Verona 2–0 Cagliari · Serie A

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Hellas Verona won 2–0.

Shots
1312
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
0.920.79
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Hellas Verona beat Cagliari 2–0. Recorded in this match (Hellas Verona – Cagliari): shots 13–12, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 0.92–0.79, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Hellas Verona's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match0.88 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cagliari have a visible away split

moderate

Cagliari's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.44 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.44 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots12 shotsHellas Verona 13 shots, Cagliari 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsHellas Verona 5 shots, Cagliari 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.92 xG0.79 xGHellas Verona 0.92 xG, Cagliari 0.79 xG
  • Possession59%41%Hellas Verona 59%, Cagliari 41%
  • Corners11 corners7 cornersHellas Verona 11 corners, Cagliari 7 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls19 foulsHellas Verona 9 fouls, Cagliari 19 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nicolas Viola · Cagliari · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Viola · Cagliari · 37′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPaweł Dawidowicz · Hellas Verona · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOndrej Duda · Hellas Verona · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOndrej Duda · Hellas Verona · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Prati · Cagliari · 11′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGaetano Oristanio · Cagliari · 25′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMartin Hongla · Hellas Verona · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Pavoletti · Cagliari · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGaetano Oristanio · Cagliari · 22′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Suslov · Hellas Verona · 28′ · 0.04 xG · on targetCyril Ngonge · Hellas Verona · 53′ · 0.04 xG · goalOndrej Duda · Hellas Verona · 61′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Sulemana · Cagliari · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Prati · Cagliari · 68′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCyril Ngonge · Hellas Verona · 74′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCyril Ngonge · Hellas Verona · 5′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNahitan Nández · Cagliari · 8′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJordi Mboula · Hellas Verona · 88′ · 0.08 xG · on targetNahitan Nández · Cagliari · 15′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMilan Đurić · Hellas Verona · 66′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMilan Đurić · Hellas Verona · 86′ · 0.12 xG · on targetAlberto Dossena · Cagliari · 26′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Prati · Cagliari · 90′ · 0.16 xG · on targetMilan Đurić · Hellas Verona · 90′ · 0.25 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Hellas Verona: 13 shots, 5 on target, 0.94 xG. Cagliari: 12 shots, 3 on target, 0.79 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Cyril Ngonge · Hellas Verona · 53′Milan Đurić · Hellas Verona · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Hellas Verona 0.94 xG · Cagliari 0.79 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Hellas Verona
1Draws
0Cagliari
Cagliari — Hellas Verona · Serie A1–2
Hellas Verona — Cagliari · Serie A0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Hellas Verona favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Cagliari in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Hellas Verona17 matchesCagliari17 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 0.94 goals/match
1.35 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/171.82 goals/match
0.88 xG/matchExpected goals17/17▲ 1.13 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots17/17▲ 12.4 shots/match
3.82 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/173.29 shots/match
45.6% ●Possession17/1742.6%
3.59 corners/matchCorners17/17● 4.53 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls17/1711.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Dec 2023, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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