Serie A · 2023

Fiorentina 1–0 Hellas Verona · Serie A

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fiorentina won 1–0.

Shots
519
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
0.492.58
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fiorentina beat Hellas Verona 1–0. Recorded in this match (Fiorentina – Hellas Verona): shots 5–19, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 0.49–2.58, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Hellas Verona's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.81 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.81 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Fiorentina have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.2% ●PossessionFiorentina · Hellas Verona44.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFiorentinaHellas VeronaBaseline
Possession58.2%44.8%51.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots19 shotsFiorentina 5 shots, Hellas Verona 19 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsFiorentina 3 shots, Hellas Verona 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.49 xG2.58 xGFiorentina 0.49 xG, Hellas Verona 2.58 xG
  • Possession66%34%Fiorentina 66%, Hellas Verona 34%
  • Corners1 corner6 cornersFiorentina 1 corner, Hellas Verona 6 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls12 foulsFiorentina 12 fouls, Hellas Verona 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Isak Hien · Hellas Verona · 69′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRiccardo Saponara · Hellas Verona · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMichael Folorunsho · Hellas Verona · 37′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Suslov · Hellas Verona · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Ikoné · Fiorentina · 47′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChristian Kouamé · Fiorentina · 61′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMichael Folorunsho · Hellas Verona · 37′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMilan Đurić · Hellas Verona · 49′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Suslov · Hellas Verona · 52′ · 0.05 xG · on targetPaweł Dawidowicz · Hellas Verona · 85′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMartin Hongla · Hellas Verona · 4′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDarko Lazović · Hellas Verona · 8′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedM'bala Nzola · Fiorentina · 20′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMichael Folorunsho · Hellas Verona · 44′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLucas Beltrán · Fiorentina · 78′ · 0.12 xG · goalMichael Folorunsho · Hellas Verona · 9′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedDarko Lazović · Hellas Verona · 31′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedBruno Amione · Hellas Verona · 49′ · 0.16 xG · on targetTomáš Suslov · Hellas Verona · 3′ · 0.18 xG · on targetRolando Mandragora · Fiorentina · 74′ · 0.20 xG · on targetCyril Ngonge · Hellas Verona · 8′ · 0.32 xG · on targetCyril Ngonge · Hellas Verona · 31′ · 0.41 xG · on targetMilan Đurić · Hellas Verona · 3′ · 0.82 xG · on targetCyril Ngonge · Hellas Verona · 3′ · 0.87 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fiorentina: 5 shots, 3 on target, 0.47 xG. Hellas Verona: 19 shots, 7 on target, 3.59 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Lucas Beltrán · Fiorentina · 78′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fiorentina 0.47 xG · Hellas Verona 3.59 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Fiorentina
2Draws
0Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona — Fiorentina · Serie A0–3
Fiorentina — Hellas Verona · Serie A2–0
Fiorentina — Hellas Verona · Serie A1–1
Hellas Verona — Fiorentina · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fiorentina favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Hellas Verona in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fiorentina16 matchesHellas Verona16 matches
1.56 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/160.81 goals/match
1.13 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/161.44 goals/match
1.2 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/160.88 xG/match
13.6 shots/match ▲Shots16/1611.1 shots/match
4.75 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/163.75 shots/match
58.2% ●Possession16/1644.8%
4.94 corners/match ●Corners16/163.13 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls16/1613 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 Dec 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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