Serie A · 2023

Lazio 0–2 Inter · Serie A

Lazio

LDLWD
0–2Historical match

Inter

WWDWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Inter won 0–2.

Shots
1312
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
1.491.62
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter beat Lazio 2–0. Recorded in this match (Lazio – Inter): shots 13–12, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.49–1.62, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lazio's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lazio's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lazio show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Lazio's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.5 shots/match ▲ShotsLazio · Inter15.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLazioInterBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match15.8 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against11.7 shots/match9.88 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.19 corners/matchCornersLazio · Inter● 5.25 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricLazioInterBaseline
Corners5.19 corners/match5.25 corners/match4.66 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots12 shotsLazio 13 shots, Inter 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsLazio 4 shots, Inter 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.49 xG1.62 xGLazio 1.49 xG, Inter 1.62 xG
  • Possession48%52%Lazio 48%, Inter 52%
  • Corners8 corners7 cornersLazio 8 corners, Inter 7 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls15 foulsLazio 13 fouls, Inter 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Marcus Thuram · Inter · 32′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCiro Immobile · Lazio · 63′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDanilo Cataldi · Lazio · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMattéo Guendouzi · Lazio · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdam Marušić · Lazio · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDaichi Kamada · Lazio · 17′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLautaro Martínez · Inter · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 30′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 39′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMattéo Guendouzi · Lazio · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDaichi Kamada · Lazio · 11′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMattéo Guendouzi · Lazio · 17′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Thuram · Inter · 4′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDavide Frattesi · Inter · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMattéo Guendouzi · Lazio · 16′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDaichi Kamada · Lazio · 56′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedCiro Immobile · Lazio · 28′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedYann Bisseck · Inter · 5′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 40′ · 0.21 xG · goalHenrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 90′ · 0.24 xG · on targetHenrikh Mkhitaryan · Inter · 71′ · 0.26 xG · on targetMarcus Thuram · Inter · 66′ · 0.36 xG · goalCiro Immobile · Lazio · 23′ · 0.41 xG · on targetNicolò Rovella · Lazio · 48′ · 0.44 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lazio: 13 shots, 4 on target, 1.49 xG. Inter: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.59 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Lautaro Martínez · Inter · 40′Marcus Thuram · Inter · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lazio 1.49 xG · Inter 1.59 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Lazio
0Draws
2Inter
Inter — Lazio · Serie A3–1
Lazio — Inter · Serie A3–1
Inter — Lazio · Serie A2–1
Lazio — Inter · Serie A3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lazio favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Inter in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lazio16 matchesInter16 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored16/16▲ 2.44 goals/match
1.13 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲ 0.44 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲ 2.11 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots16/16▲ 15.8 shots/match
3.38 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲ 5.06 shots/match
53.6%Possession16/16● 55.6%
5.19 corners/matchCorners16/16● 5.25 corners/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 Dec 2023, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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