Serie A · 2023

Bologna 2–0 Roma · Serie A

Bologna

WLWDW
2–0Historical match

Roma

WDWWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bologna won 2–0.

Shots
88
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.520.6
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bologna beat Roma 2–0. Recorded in this match (Bologna – Roma): shots 8–8, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.52–0.6, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Roma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Roma's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.75 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.75 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bologna show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bologna's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsBologna · Roma12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBolognaRomaBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against11.1 shots/match9.81 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots8 shotsBologna 8 shots, Roma 8 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsBologna 2 shots, Roma 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.52 xG0.6 xGBologna 0.52 xG, Roma 0.6 xG
  • Possession56%44%Bologna 56%, Roma 44%
  • Corners0 corners4 cornersBologna 0 corners, Roma 4 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls16 foulsBologna 16 fouls, Roma 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Bologna
2Draws
1Roma
Bologna — Roma · Serie A0–0
Roma — Bologna · Serie A1–0
Roma — Bologna · Serie A0–0
Bologna — Roma · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bologna favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Roma in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bologna16 matchesRoma16 matches
1.25 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲ 1.75 goals/match
0.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/161.19 goals/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲ 1.37 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots16/16▲ 12.2 shots/match
4.31 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/164 shots/match
54.8% ●Possession16/1653.6%
3.19 corners/matchCorners16/16● 5.06 corners/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls16/1612.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 Dec 2023, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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