Serie A · 2023

Salernitana 1–2 Genoa · Serie A

1–2Historical match

Genoa

DWDDD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Genoa won 1–2.

Shots
115
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
0.761.14
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Genoa beat Salernitana 2–1. Recorded in this match (Salernitana – Genoa): shots 11–5, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 0.76–1.14, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Salernitana's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Salernitana's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.86 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Salernitana have a visible home split

moderate

Salernitana's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.5 shots/match10.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots5 shotsSalernitana 11 shots, Genoa 5 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsSalernitana 2 shots, Genoa 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.76 xG1.14 xGSalernitana 0.76 xG, Genoa 1.14 xG
  • Possession60%40%Salernitana 60%, Genoa 40%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersSalernitana 5 corners, Genoa 5 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls15 foulsSalernitana 7 fouls, Genoa 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ruslan Malinovskyi · Genoa · 8′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAntonio Candreva · Salernitana · 24′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAgustín Martegani · Salernitana · 53′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMattia Bani · Genoa · 73′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLoum Tchaouna · Salernitana · 65′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Lovato · Salernitana · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMateo Retegui · Genoa · 33′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGiulio Maggiore · Salernitana · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Candreva · Salernitana · 22′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Candreva · Salernitana · 42′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSimy · Salernitana · 52′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGiulio Maggiore · Salernitana · 45′ · 0.10 xG · on targetAntonio Candreva · Salernitana · 62′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAgustín Martegani · Salernitana · 2′ · 0.21 xG · goalMateo Retegui · Genoa · 13′ · 0.31 xG · goalAlbert Guðmundsson · Genoa · 58′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Salernitana: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.76 xG. Genoa: 5 shots, 5 on target, 1.19 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Agustín Martegani · Salernitana · 2′Mateo Retegui · Genoa · 13′Albert Guðmundsson · Genoa · 58′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Salernitana 0.76 xG · Genoa 1.19 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Salernitana
1Draws
1Genoa
Genoa — Salernitana · Serie A1–0
Genoa — Salernitana · Serie A1–1
Salernitana — Genoa · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Salernitana favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Genoa in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Salernitana21 matchesGenoa21 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored21/21▲ 1.05 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲ 1.19 goals/match
0.8 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲ 0.84 xG/match
10.7 shots/match ▲Shots21/219.95 shots/match
3.24 shots/matchShots on target21/213.1 shots/match
44.6% ●Possession21/2142.6%
4.29 corners/match ●Corners21/213.67 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls21/2111.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Jan 2024, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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