PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Salernitana 1–2 Roma · Serie A

1–2Historical match

Roma

WLDLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Roma won 1–2.

Shots
155
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
1.181.64
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Roma beat Salernitana 2–1. Recorded in this match (Salernitana – Roma): shots 15–5, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 1.18–1.64, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Roma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Roma's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.64 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.64 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Salernitana have a visible home split

moderate

Salernitana's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match10.9 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Salernitana show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Salernitana's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsSalernitana · Roma12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSalernitanaRomaBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match12 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against14.9 shots/match10.4 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots5 shotsSalernitana 15 shots, Roma 5 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsSalernitana 7 shots, Roma 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.18 xG1.64 xGSalernitana 1.18 xG, Roma 1.64 xG
  • Possession39%61%Salernitana 39%, Roma 61%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerSalernitana 5 corners, Roma 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls12 foulsSalernitana 12 fouls, Roma 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Bryan Cristante · Roma · 49′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSimy · Salernitana · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNiccolò Pierozzi · Salernitana · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGrigoris Kastanos · Salernitana · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Candreva · Salernitana · 24′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDomagoj Bradarić · Salernitana · 31′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLorenzo Pellegrini · Roma · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNiccolò Pierozzi · Salernitana · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Candreva · Salernitana · 76′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAntonio Candreva · Salernitana · 13′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAntonio Candreva · Salernitana · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRomelu Lukaku · Roma · 17′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAgustín Martegani · Salernitana · 68′ · 0.05 xG · on targetChukwubuikem Ikwuemesi · Salernitana · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLoum Tchaouna · Salernitana · 32′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJunior Sambia · Salernitana · 33′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedGrigoris Kastanos · Salernitana · 70′ · 0.16 xG · goalSimy · Salernitana · 61′ · 0.44 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Pellegrini · Roma · 66′ · 0.72 xG · goalPaulo Dybala · Roma · 51′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Salernitana: 15 shots, 7 on target, 1.16 xG. Roma: 5 shots, 2 on target, 1.63 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Grigoris Kastanos · Salernitana · 70′Paulo Dybala · Roma · 51′Lorenzo Pellegrini · Roma · 66′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Salernitana 1.16 xG · Roma 1.63 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Salernitana
2Draws
3Roma
Roma — Salernitana · Serie A2–2
Roma — Salernitana · Serie A2–2
Salernitana — Roma · Serie A0–1
Roma — Salernitana · Serie A2–1
Salernitana — Roma · Serie A0–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Salernitana favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Roma in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Salernitana22 matchesRoma22 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲ 1.64 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed22/22▲ 1.18 goals/match
0.82 xG/matchExpected goals22/22▲ 1.38 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots22/22▲ 12 shots/match
3.41 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲ 3.86 shots/match
44.3%Possession22/22● 53.9%
4.32 corners/matchCorners22/22● 4.55 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls22/2212.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 29 Jan 2024, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSalernitanaRoma
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headSalernitana — Roma
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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