Serie A · 2023

Udinese 1–2 Inter · Serie A

Udinese

LDWLD
1–2Historical match

Inter

WWWDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Inter won 1–2.

Shots
323
Shots on target
16
Expected goals
0.063.31
Possession
23%77%

Full time

What the match recorded

Inter beat Udinese 2–1. Recorded in this match (Udinese – Inter): shots 3–23, shots on target 1–6, expected goals 0.06–3.31, possession 23%–77%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Inter's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Inter's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.42 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match2.42 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Inter have recorded the higher season possession share.

39.4%PossessionUdinese · Inter● 56.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricUdineseInterBaseline
Possession39.4%56.3%50.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.2 shots/match ▲ShotsUdinese · Inter15.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricUdineseInterBaseline
Shots12.2 shots/match15.8 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against12.9 shots/match10 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots3 shots23 shotsUdinese 3 shots, Inter 23 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot6 shotsUdinese 1 shot, Inter 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.06 xG3.31 xGUdinese 0.06 xG, Inter 3.31 xG
  • Possession23%77%Udinese 23%, Inter 77%
  • Corners0 corners8 cornersUdinese 0 corners, Inter 8 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls11 foulsUdinese 11 fouls, Inter 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Federico Dimarco · Inter · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Udinese · 40′ · 0.01 xG · goalBenjamin Pavard · Inter · 83′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDenzel Dumfries · Inter · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFederico Dimarco · Inter · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 21′ · 0.02 xG · on targetHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLazar Samardžić · Udinese · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCarlos Augusto · Inter · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Pereyra · Udinese · 13′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDavide Frattesi · Inter · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 30′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMarcus Thuram · Inter · 63′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 80′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 42′ · 0.08 xG · on targetTajon Buchanan · Inter · 83′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTajon Buchanan · Inter · 85′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 15′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 48′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDenzel Dumfries · Inter · 43′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDavide Frattesi · Inter · 71′ · 0.34 xG · off target or blockedDavide Frattesi · Inter · 77′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 55′ · 0.82 xG · goalDavide Frattesi · Inter · 90′ · 0.94 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Udinese: 3 shots, 1 on target, 0.06 xG. Inter: 23 shots, 6 on target, 3.46 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Lazar Samardžić · Udinese · 40′Hakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 55′Davide Frattesi · Inter · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Udinese 0.06 xG · Inter 3.46 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Udinese
0Draws
4Inter
Inter — Udinese · Serie A4–0
Inter — Udinese · Serie A3–1
Udinese — Inter · Serie A3–1
Udinese — Inter · Serie A1–2
Inter — Udinese · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Udinese favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Inter in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Udinese31 matchesInter31 matches
0.97 goals/matchGoals scored31/31▲ 2.42 goals/match
1.52 goals/matchGoals allowed31/31▲ 0.48 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals31/31▲ 2.15 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots31/31▲ 15.8 shots/match
3.84 shots/matchShots on target31/31▲ 5.58 shots/match
39.4%Possession31/31● 56.3%
4.16 corners/matchCorners31/31● 6.23 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls31/3111.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 8 Apr 2024, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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