Serie A · 2023Mon, 1 Apr 2024, 13:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

Udinese

DLDWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricSassuoloUdinese
Shots14 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals1.2 xG/match1.52 xG/match
Possession60%40%
Corners10 corners/match1 corners/match
Fouls7 fouls/match10 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Uroš Račić · Sassuolo · 64′ · 0.01 xG · on targetArmand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJosh Doig · Sassuolo · 85′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGian Marco Ferrari · Sassuolo · 5′ · 0.02 xG · on targetHassane Kamara · Udinese · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKristian Thorstvedt · Sassuolo · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGrégoire Defrel · Sassuolo · 65′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFlorian Thauvin · Udinese · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Ehizibue · Udinese · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Pinamonti · Sassuolo · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedArmand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedArmand Laurienté · Sassuolo · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Udinese · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 15′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 35′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Pinamonti · Sassuolo · 54′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAndrea Pinamonti · Sassuolo · 82′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedSandi Lovrić · Udinese · 22′ · 0.12 xG · on targetLorenzo Lucca · Udinese · 33′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedSandi Lovrić · Udinese · 49′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedUroš Račić · Sassuolo · 27′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Thauvin · Udinese · 28′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Pinamonti · Sassuolo · 10′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedSandi Lovrić · Udinese · 33′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedGrégoire Defrel · Sassuolo · 41′ · 0.38 xG · goalFlorian Thauvin · Udinese · 44′ · 0.43 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Sassuolo: 14 shots, 5 on target, 1.18 xG. Udinese: 12 shots, 2 on target, 1.52 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Grégoire Defrel · Sassuolo · 41′Florian Thauvin · Udinese · 44′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Sassuolo 1.18 xG · Udinese 1.52 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Sassuolo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Sassuolo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Sassuolo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Sassuolo
3Draws
2Udinese
UdineseSassuolo · Serie A22
UdineseSassuolo · Serie A22
SassuoloUdinese · Serie A13
SassuoloUdinese · Serie A11
UdineseSassuolo · Serie A32

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Sassuolo favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Udinese in 5 · 5 too close

1.13 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 30/300.97 goals/match
1.9 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 30/301.5 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 30/301.09 xG/match
1.61 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 30/301.35 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 30/3012.5 shots/match
14.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 30/3012.6 shots/match
4.27 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 30/303.93 shots/match
4.83 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 30/304.27 shots/match
44.7%Possessionseason · 30/3039.9%
5.43 corners/matchCornersseason · 30/304.3 corners/match
5.4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 30/306.2 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
9.93 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 30/3012.9 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
7%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 30/3023%
67%Scoring frequencyseason · 30/3067%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Sassuolo27.5
Udinese2.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Sassuolo59.2
Udinese40
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Sassuolo20
Udinese37.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Sassuolo82.5
Udinese97.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Sassuolo7.5
Udinese82.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Sassuolo77.5
Udinese27.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Sassuolo53.8
Udinese51.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Sassuolo30 matchesUdinese30 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored30/300.97 goals/match
1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed30/301.5 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals30/301.09 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots30/3012.5 shots/match
4.27 shots/matchShots on target30/303.93 shots/match
44.7%Possession30/3039.9%
5.43 corners/matchCorners30/304.3 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.93 fouls/matchFouls30/3012.9 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Sassuolo15 matchesUdinese15 matches
1.27 goals/matchGoals scored15/150.8 goals/match
1.73 goals/matchGoals allowed15/151.47 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals15/150.88 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots15/1510.8 shots/match
4.4 shots/matchShots on target15/152.93 shots/match
44.7%Possession15/1536.6%
5.47 corners/matchCorners15/153.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
9.73 fouls/matchFouls15/1512.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14.8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/116 days
0 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 1 Apr 2024, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match