Serie A · 2023

Bologna 3–0 Salernitana · Serie A

Bologna

WWWLW
3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bologna won 3–0.

Shots
148
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
1.610.62
Possession
70%30%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bologna beat Salernitana 3–0. Recorded in this match (Bologna – Salernitana): shots 14–8, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 1.61–0.62, possession 70%–30%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Salernitana's recent record differs from the season

weak

Salernitana's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.77 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.77 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Salernitana have a visible away split

moderate

Salernitana's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.6 shots/match10.7 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Salernitana show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Salernitana's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.8 shots/match ▲ShotsBologna · Salernitana10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBolognaSalernitanaBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match10.7 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against10.6 shots/match15.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots8 shotsBologna 14 shots, Salernitana 8 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsBologna 3 shots, Salernitana 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.61 xG0.62 xGBologna 1.61 xG, Salernitana 0.62 xG
  • Possession70%30%Bologna 70%, Salernitana 30%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersBologna 5 corners, Salernitana 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls12 foulsBologna 11 fouls, Salernitana 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Antonio Candreva · Salernitana · 33′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLoum Tchaouna · Salernitana · 41′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Candreva · Salernitana · 67′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJunior Sambia · Salernitana · 87′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 14′ · 0.02 xG · goalJens Odgaard · Bologna · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGiulio Maggiore · Salernitana · 33′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Saelemaekers · Bologna · 44′ · 0.03 xG · goalRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLoum Tchaouna · Salernitana · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJens Odgaard · Bologna · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCharalampos Lykogiannis · Bologna · 26′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLewis Ferguson · Bologna · 29′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCharalampos Lykogiannis · Bologna · 35′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Zirkzee · Bologna · 76′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCharalampos Lykogiannis · Bologna · 90′ · 0.05 xG · goalLewis Ferguson · Bologna · 50′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLewis Ferguson · Bologna · 37′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSimy · Salernitana · 17′ · 0.12 xG · on targetRiccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 5′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Candreva · Salernitana · 80′ · 0.40 xG · on targetDan Ndoye · Bologna · 66′ · 0.89 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bologna: 14 shots, 3 on target, 1.58 xG. Salernitana: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.62 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Riccardo Orsolini · Bologna · 14′Alexis Saelemaekers · Bologna · 44′Charalampos Lykogiannis · Bologna · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bologna 1.58 xG · Salernitana 0.62 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Bologna
3Draws
0Salernitana
Salernitana — Bologna · Serie A1–2
Salernitana — Bologna · Serie A2–2
Bologna — Salernitana · Serie A1–1
Salernitana — Bologna · Serie A1–1
Bologna — Salernitana · Serie A3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bologna favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Salernitana in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bologna30 matchesSalernitana30 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/300.77 goals/match
0.83 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/302.07 goals/match
1.28 xG/match ▲Expected goals30/300.79 xG/match
12.8 shots/match ▲Shots30/3010.7 shots/match
4.47 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/303.23 shots/match
58.3% ●Possession30/3045.3%
4.17 corners/matchCorners30/30● 4.23 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls30/3012 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 1 Apr 2024, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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